Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 2.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
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16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
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85% (474/560) | 59% (141/237) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 2.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.46 | 1.45 |
Total shots |
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16 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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41 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (474/560) | 59% (141/237) |
Long passes |
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66% (33/50) | 30% (20/66) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (131/175) | 46% (49/106) |
Crosses |
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23% (8/35) | 7% (1/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.38 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 18 |
Fouls |
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11 | 9 |
Tackles |
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32% (6/19) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
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68 | 57 |
Clearances |
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36 | 43 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.45 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
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0.45 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Saeter J. ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Li Y. ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
- 63', Peng Xiao ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
- 63', Zeca ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Merkies R. ⚽, Cryzan (A),
- 79', Xie Wenneng ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
- 81', Tang Miao ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
- 85', Saeter J. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
- 90+4', Ionita II A. ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
- 90+5', Ye Chugui ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
Chances of winning
Shandong Taishan 71.4% | Draw 16.2% | Yunnan Yukun 12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.39) |
5.85 ↑ (5.25) |
7.66 ↑ (6.35) |
6.4% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shandong Taishan (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1, 1st Half - Shandong Taishan (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Shandong Taishan (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).
- Shandong Taishan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Yunnan Yukun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shandong Taishan is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi
(Injury)
Zeca
(Injury)
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Han Zilong
(Inactive)
Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Li B.
(Inactive)
Yi Teng
(Injury)
- We predict that Shandong Taishan will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shandong Taishan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Yunnan Yukun?
Shandong Taishan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Shandong Taishan?
Yunnan Yukun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun were as follows:
05.05.2025
Yunnan Yukun
-
Shandong Taishan
3:2
Latest results of Shandong Taishan
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 67:41 | 26 | 60 |
2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 56:23 | 33 | 58 |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 61:32 | 29 | 57 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 58:41 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 59:43 | 16 | 44 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 40 |
8 | Qingdao West Coast | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:50 | -9 | 35 |
10 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 34 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 47:44 | 3 | 32 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:54 | -22 | 25 |
13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 32:56 | -24 | 23 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 32:60 | -28 | 20 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 18 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League