Shandong Taishan vs Yunnan Yukun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.06
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (474/560)59% (141/237)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.45
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4120
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
911
Passes
85% (474/560)59% (141/237)
Long passes
66% (33/50)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
75% (131/175)46% (49/106)
Crosses
23% (8/35)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.72
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
119
Tackles
32% (6/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6857
Clearances
3643
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
1.451.46
Goals prevented
0.450.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Saeter J. , Taty Maritu O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Li Y. , Huang Zhengyu ,
  • 63', Peng Xiao , Zhao Jianfei ,
  • 63', Zeca , Merkies R. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Merkies R. , Cryzan (A),
  • 79', Xie Wenneng , Peng Y. ,
  • 81', Tang Miao , Luo Jing ,
  • 85', Saeter J. , Zhao Yuhao ,
  • 90+4', Ionita II A. , Duan Dezhi ,
  • 90+5', Ye Chugui , Zhang Yufeng ,

Chances of winning


Shandong Taishan
71.4%
Draw
16.2%
Yunnan Yukun
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 17.8% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3% 16.8% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.39)
    5.85
    (5.25)
    7.66
    (6.35)
    6.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    What is the prediction for Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shandong Taishan (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Shandong Taishan (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -1 - Shandong Taishan (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).
    • Shandong Taishan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Yunnan Yukun is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shandong Taishan is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Chen Zeshi (Injury) Zeca (Injury)
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Han Zilong (Inactive) Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Li B. (Inactive) Yi Teng (Injury)
    • We predict that Shandong Taishan will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shandong Taishan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan 3:2
    Latest results of Shandong Taishan
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port27186367:412660
    2Chengdu Rongcheng27177356:233358
    3Shanghai Shenhua27176461:322957
    4Beijing Guoan27156658:411751
    5Shandong Taishan27128759:431644
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27127836:34243
    7Zhejiang Professional271010756:441240
    8Qingdao West Coast2799936:40-436
    9Yunnan Yukun27981041:50-935
    10Dalian Yingbo27971126:40-1434
    11Henan Songshan Longmen27951347:44332
    12Wuhan Three Towns27671432:54-2225
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng27721832:56-2423
    14Meizhou Hakka27551732:60-2820
    15Qingdao Hainiu27391528:44-1618
    16Changchun Yatai27461724:45-2118

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