Result
3:2
05/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (171/252) | 75% (269/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (171/252) | 75% (269/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 41% (28/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (41/80) | 68% (113/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Xie Wenneng ⚽,
- 24', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Sun Xuelong ↑,
- 38', Zhao Jianfei 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Zeca ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', Ye Chugui ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
- 57', Han Zilong ↓, Ionita II A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Pedro H. ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
- 62', Martinez J. ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Ionita II A. ⚽,
- 72', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
- 72', Chen Pu ↓, Peng Xinli ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Tsui Wang-Kit ⚽,
- 78', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Bi Jinhao ↑,
- 79', Li Y. ↓, Mijit Mewlan ↑,
- 90+7', Ionita II A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun
34.2% | Draw
26.1% | Shandong Taishan
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.64) |
3.58 ↓
(3.81) |
2.34 ↑
(1.89) |
6.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- Yunnan Yukun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.
- Shandong Taishan could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Ionita II A.
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi
(Injury)
Liu Binbin
(Injury)
Zhang Chi
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Shandong Taishan?
Yunnan Yukun has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Yunnan Yukun?
Shandong Taishan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan were as follows:
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 51:27 | 24 | 47 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 47:25 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 17 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 26:44 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
