Result
3:2
05/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.97 | 1.17 |
Ball Possession |
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41% | 59% |
Total shots |
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15 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Passes |
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68% (171/252) | 75% (269/358) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 1.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.27 | 1.16 |
Total shots |
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15 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 15 |
Passes |
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68% (171/252) | 75% (269/358) |
Long passes |
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48% (24/50) | 41% (28/68) |
Passes in final third |
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51% (41/80) | 68% (113/165) |
Crosses |
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29% (5/17) | 8% (2/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.18 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 26 |
Fouls |
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15 | 9 |
Tackles |
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52% (11/21) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
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56 | 57 |
Clearances |
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40 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.16 | 2.27 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.84 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Xie Wenneng ⚽,
- 24', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Sun Xuelong ↑,
- 38', Zhao Jianfei 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Zeca ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', Ye Chugui ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
- 57', Han Zilong ↓, Ionita II A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Pedro H. ⚽, Taty Maritu O. (A),
- 62', Martinez J. ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Ionita II A. ⚽,
- 72', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
- 72', Chen Pu ↓, Peng Xinli ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Tsui Wang-Kit ⚽,
- 78', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Bi Jinhao ↑,
- 79', Li Y. ↓, Mijit Mewlan ↑,
- 90+7', Ionita II A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yunnan Yukun 34.2% | Draw 26.1% | Shandong Taishan 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.76 ↓ (3.64) |
3.58 ↓ (3.81) |
2.34 ↑ (1.89) |
6.9% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- Yunnan Yukun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.
- Shandong Taishan could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Ionita II A.
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi
(Injury)
Liu Binbin
(Injury)
Zhang Chi
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Shandong Taishan?
Yunnan Yukun has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shandong Taishan won against Yunnan Yukun?
Shandong Taishan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan were as follows:
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Latest results of Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 38:18 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 34 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
8 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
9 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
10 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League