Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan
Result
3:2
05/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 11
Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.17
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
68% (171/252)75% (269/358)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.17
xG on target (xGOT)
2.271.16
Total shots
1518
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
313
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
68% (171/252)75% (269/358)
Long passes
48% (24/50)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
51% (41/80)68% (113/165)
Crosses
29% (5/17)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.24
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
159
Tackles
52% (11/21)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5657
Clearances
4026
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.162.27
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Xie Wenneng ,
  • 24', Zhao Yuhao , Sun Xuelong ,
  • 38', Zhao Jianfei 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Zeca ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 57', Ye Chugui , Pedro H. ,
  • 57', Han Zilong , Ionita II A. ,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Pedro H. , Taty Maritu O. (A),
  • 62', Martinez J. , Duan Dezhi ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Ionita II A. ,
  • 72', Guilherme Madruga , Huang Zhengyu ,
  • 72', Chen Pu , Peng Xinli ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Tsui Wang-Kit ,
  • 78', Qazaishvili V. , Bi Jinhao ,
  • 79', Li Y. , Mijit Mewlan ,
  • 90+7', Ionita II A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Yunnan Yukun
34.2%
Draw
26.1%
Shandong Taishan
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 24.6% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 24.1% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.
  • Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (3.64)
    3.58
    (3.81)
    2.34
    (1.89)
    6.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
    • Yunnan Yukun is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of away games.
    • Shandong Taishan could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Ionita II A. (Injury) Martinez J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Gao Zhunyi (Injury) Liu Binbin (Injury) Zhang Chi (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Latest results of Shandong Taishan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Beijing Guoan16115037:152238
    2Shanghai Shenhua16122236:162038
    3Chengdu Rongcheng16104232:131934
    4Shanghai Port16104236:201634
    5Shandong Taishan1674533:27625
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1674523:24-125
    7Yunnan Yukun1664622:24-222
    8Qingdao West Coast1656521:24-321
    9Zhejiang Professional1655629:25420
    10Dalian Yingbo1655615:24-920
    11Wuhan Three Towns1654722:30-819
    12Henan Songshan Longmen1643924:29-515
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng16421017:35-1814
    14Meizhou Hakka16331021:35-1412
    15Qingdao Hainiu16151013:25-128
    16Changchun Yatai16221214:29-158

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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