Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 27

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.23
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
75% (244/326)76% (270/356)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.760.00
Total shots
165
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (244/326)76% (270/356)
Long passes
52% (32/62)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
58% (79/136)62% (48/78)
Crosses
21% (5/24)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.44
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
139
Tackles
86% (12/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5954
Clearances
2248
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.76
Goals prevented
0.00-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Liu J. , Ademi A. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Taty Maritu O. (Pen),
  • 41', Ye Chugui 🟨,
  • 45+3', Li Songyi 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sun Ming-Him , Yang Zihao ,
  • 46', Wang Xianjun , Guo Hao ,
  • 57', Ademi A. , Shi Yan ,
  • 76', Wang Qiuming , Ruan Yang ,
  • 76', Luo Jing , Zhao Yuhao ,
  • 76', Ye Chugui , Pedro H. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Pedro H. , Ionita II A. (A),
  • 86', Ionita II A. , Sun Xuelong ,
  • 90', Nene , Zhang Yufeng ,
  • 90', Saeter J. , Yang He ,
  • 90+4', Huang Jiahui 🟨,

Chances of winning


Yunnan Yukun
49.6%
Draw
25.8%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.8% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 25.9% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.92)
    3.76
    (3.63)
    3.76
    (3.68)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 25%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • Yunnan Yukun is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Yunnan Yukun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Yunnan Yukun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Han Zilong (Inactive) Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Quiles A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Li B. (Inactive) Yi Teng (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun 0:1
    21.06.2024 Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng32109:457
    2Yunnan Yukun32018:356
    3Chongqing Tonglianglong31204:315
    4Liaoning Tieren31023:4-13
    5Dalian Yingbo31025:9-43
    6Shenzhen Xinpengcheng31022:6-43
    7Qingdao West Coast31022:6-43
    8Zhejiang Professional32107:252
    9Henan Songshan Longmen32105:321
    10Shandong Taishan32015:500
    11Wuhan Three Towns31115:41-1
    12Beijing Guoan31114:31-1
    13Shanghai Port31025:41-2
    14Shanghai Shenhua31207:52-5
    15Qingdao Hainiu30032:8-6-7
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger30120:4-4-9

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