Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 16
- Referee: Gianforte N. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/529) | 74% (273/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/529) | 74% (273/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/104) | 59% (64/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Koide H. ⚽, Filet E. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Marchesano A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Obexer L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Pos L. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
- 61', Pasche E. ↓, Golliard R. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Fazliu V. ⚽, Filet E. (A),
- 65', Koide H. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 66', Obexer L. ↓, Guzzo R. ↑,
- 70', Rodrigues M. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
- 70', Marchesano A. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
- 75', Sauthier A. 🟨,
- 77', Sorgic D. ↓, Ntelo M. ↑,
- 85', Filet E. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 86', Golliard R. 🟨,
- 90', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yverdon
39.7% | Draw
26.4% | Aarau
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Yverdon - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.31) |
3.52 ↑
(3.39) |
2.74 ↓
(2.77) |
7.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yverdon - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Aarau will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 2.
- Yverdon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Aarau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Yverdon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Yverdon: Busset R.
(Inactive)
Camara S.
(Injury)
Le Pogam W.
(Injury)
Tasar V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Bobadilla R.
(Yellow Cards)
Petit V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yverdon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Aarau?
Yverdon has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Yverdon?
Aarau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yverdon - Aarau were as follows:
03.10.2025
Aarau
-
Yverdon
1:2
23.05.2023
Yverdon
-
Aarau
1:1
10.02.2023
Aarau
-
Yverdon
1:2
04.11.2022
Aarau
-
Yverdon
3:2
30.09.2022
Yverdon
-
Aarau
2:2
Latest results of Yverdon
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aarau | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xamax | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 7 | Stade Nyonnais | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Wil | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13:33 | -20 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
