Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 20
- Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/460) | 82% (314/384) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/460) | 82% (314/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/105) | 69% (93/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Afriyie D. ⚽, Frokaj L. (A),
- 28', Fazliu V. 🟨,
- 45', Sessolo H. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ntelo M. ↓, Pasche E. ↑,
- 46', Lemina N. ↓, Tasar V. ↑,
- 52', Thaler M. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Rodrigues M. ⚽, Pasche E. (A),
- 61', Filet E. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 66', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
- 67', Rodrigues M. ↓, Neelakandan R. ↑,
- 69', Acquah D. 🟨,
- 74', Obexer L. ↓, Guzzo R. ↑,
- 74', Afriyie D. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 74', Weber P. ↓, Marchesano A. ↑,
- 89', Frokaj L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Dickenmann M. ↓, Kessler R. ↑,
- 90+1', Frokaj L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Derbaci D. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
Chances of winning
Yverdon
33.1% | Draw
27.3% | Aarau
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yverdon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Yverdon - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.53) |
3.39 ↓
(3.66) |
2.34 ↓
(2.48) |
8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yverdon - Aarau?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aarau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Yverdon has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Yverdon: Busset R.
(Injury)
Gunnarsson N.
(Inactive)
Le Pogam W.
(Leg Injury)
Sorgic D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Koide H.
(Inactive)
Zalokar S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Yverdon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yverdon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Aarau?
Yverdon has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Yverdon?
Aarau has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yverdon - Aarau were as follows:
07.12.2025
Yverdon
-
Aarau
1:2
03.10.2025
Aarau
-
Yverdon
1:2
23.05.2023
Yverdon
-
Aarau
1:1
10.02.2023
Aarau
-
Yverdon
1:2
04.11.2022
Aarau
-
Yverdon
3:2
Latest results of Yverdon
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
