Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 9
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (267/342) | 88% (376/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (267/342) | 88% (376/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 76% (35/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/112) | 83% (86/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Chappuis A. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Pasche E. ⚽, Sessolo H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Zoukit N. 🟨,
- 63', Rodrigues M. ↓, Lemina N. ↑,
- 63', Camara S. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
- 70', Afriyie D. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 70', Zoukit N. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 73', Filet E. 🟨,
- 76', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 78', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
- 80', Sessolo H. 🟨,
- 82', Marchesano A. ↓, Sorgic D. ↑,
- 87', Frokaj L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 87', Kessler R. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
- 87', Sorgic D. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 2, Lemina N. ⚽, Sauthier A. (A),
- 90+1', Sessolo H. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
- 90+1', Gnakpa J. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Fazliu V. ⚽, Derbaci D. (A),
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', Tijani M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aarau
38.8% | Draw
28.5% | Yverdon
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Aarau - Yverdon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.16) |
3.46 ↓
(3.51) |
2.98 ↓
(3.02) |
0.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarau - Yverdon?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Yverdon will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarau: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
- Aarau is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Yverdon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aarau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
Jackle O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Yverdon: Tasar V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Bobadilla R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Yverdon?
Aarau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Aarau?
Yverdon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Yverdon were as follows:
23.05.2023
Yverdon
-
Aarau
1:1
10.02.2023
Aarau
-
Yverdon
1:2
04.11.2022
Aarau
-
Yverdon
3:2
30.09.2022
Yverdon
-
Aarau
2:2
Latest results of Yverdon
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Vaduz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:21 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
