Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 21
- Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, Minala J. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Im Y. W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Majok A. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
- 46', Im Y. W. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 52', Kirby J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 65', Gambarte B. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
- 74', Arias U. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 79', Scicluna R. ↓, Eviparker T. ↑,
- 83', Linden R. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
- 84', Minala J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Micallef J. ↓, Etim A. ↑,
- 90+5', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Etim A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Żabbar St. Patrick 17.7% | Draw 24.2% | Marsaxlokk 58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.16 ↑ (3.79) |
3.76 ↑ (3.44) |
1.57 ↓ (1.88) |
9.8% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Marsaxlokk (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Marsaxlokk will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marsaxlokk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Marsaxlokk (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- Żabbar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marsaxlokk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
- Marsaxlokk could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Żabbar St. Patrick won against Marsaxlokk?
Żabbar St. Patrick has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Żabbar St. Patrick?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
29.10.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
1:0
19.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
3:1
02.10.2024
Żabbar St. Patrick
-
Marsaxlokk
1:3
Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Gzira | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Marsaxlokk | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Valletta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Sliema | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Naxxar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 11 | Zabbar | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
| 12 | Mosta | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )