Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 21
- Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 2, Minala J. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Im Y. W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Majok A. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
- 46', Im Y. W. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 52', Kirby J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 65', Gambarte B. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
- 74', Arias U. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 79', Scicluna R. ↓, Eviparker T. ↑,
- 83', Linden R. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
- 84', Minala J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Micallef J. ↓, Etim A. ↑,
- 90+5', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Etim A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Żabbar St. Patrick
17.7% | Draw
24.2% | Marsaxlokk
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żabbar St. Patrick's form might have worsened.Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żabbar St. Patrick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(3.79) |
3.76 ↑
(3.44) |
1.57 ↓
(1.88) |
9.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Marsaxlokk (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Marsaxlokk will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marsaxlokk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Marsaxlokk (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- Żabbar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marsaxlokk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
- Marsaxlokk could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Żabbar St. Patrick won against Marsaxlokk?
Żabbar St. Patrick has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Żabbar St. Patrick?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
29.10.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
1:0
19.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
3:1
02.10.2024
Żabbar St. Patrick
-
Marsaxlokk
1:3
Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
