Result
4:2
25/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 El-salvador | TCS GO, Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Rodriguez O. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Barahona J. (Own goal),
- 43', 2 - 1, Gustavo Souza ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 3 - 1, Duenas E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alianza San Miguel
64.9% | Draw
21.1% | Zacatecoluca
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-17.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza San Miguel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zacatecoluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza San Miguel - Zacatecoluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.42) |
4.37 ↑
(4.2) |
6.59 ↑
(6.32) |
8.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
- Alianza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zacatecoluca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zacatecoluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Zacatecoluca?
Alianza San Miguel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zacatecoluca won against Alianza San Miguel?
Zacatecoluca has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza San Miguel - Zacatecoluca were as follows:
28.02.2026
Zacatecoluca
-
Alianza San Miguel
0:2
09.11.2025
Alianza San Miguel
-
Zacatecoluca
1:1
07.09.2025
Zacatecoluca
-
Alianza San Miguel
0:1
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
Latest results of Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FAS ✔ | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 48:16 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo ✔ | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 33:19 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Inter F.A ✔ | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
| 4 | Municipal Limeno ✔ | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Alianza FC ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35:30 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Aguila ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Metapan ✔ | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 27 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Hercules | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24:43 | -19 | 16 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 14 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 21:42 | -21 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Luis Angel Firpo is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Inter F.A is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Municipal Limeno is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Aguila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Metapan is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
