Result
2:2
28/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 2
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/312) | 71% (177/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (227/312) | 71% (177/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/99) | 66% (76/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Regula M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
- 18', Wdowiak M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Radwanski A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 2, Nowak B. ⚽,
- 60', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 60', Wdowiak M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 62', Blad A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 62', Rosolek M. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 70', Regula M. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 71', Kowalczyk M. 🟨,
- 76', Lukasiak K. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Nowak B. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
- 89', Wasielewski M. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
41.3% | Draw
27.9% | Zagłębie Lubin
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.26) |
3.35 ↑
(3.23) |
3.04 ↓
(3.09) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, GKS Katowice has had a series of home games.
- GKS Katowice could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Zagłębie Lubin?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against GKS Katowice?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
09.03.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
31.08.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
GKS Katowice
1:0
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
