Zagłębie Lubin vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce
Result
1:1
01/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.44
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
72% (222/310)75% (278/371)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.13
Total shots
817
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
715
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2240
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1915
Passes
72% (222/310)75% (278/371)
Long passes
33% (16/48)41% (30/74)
Passes in final third
52% (44/85)62% (84/136)
Crosses
32% (7/22)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.44
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
1519
Tackles
52% (12/23)83% (10/12)
Duels won
6954
Clearances
4429
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.130.94
Goals prevented
0.13-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Nikolov V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nikolov V. , Antonin ,
  • 62', Yakuba R. 🟨,
  • 66', Wdowiak M. , Sypek J. ,
  • 66', Regula M. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 66', Szmyt K. , Nowogonski K. ,
  • 66', Sypek J. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Antonin ,
  • 69', Davidovic S. , Niski N. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Kosidis M. , Sypek J. (A),
  • 78', Radwanski A. , Mroz M. ,
  • 88', Remacle M. , Strzebonski M. ,
  • 90+4', Blanik D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
42.8%
Draw
28.3%
Korona Kielce
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29.2% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 28.1% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.22)
    3.29
    (3.18)
    3.23
    (3.19)
    7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Korona will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
    • Zagłębie Lubin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Korona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Zagłębie Lubin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Orlikowski I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Korona: Nono (Red Card) Popov V. (Foot Injury) Resta P. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0
    15.09.2024 Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0
    03.03.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0
    27.08.2023 Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0
    23.04.2023 Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin 2:2
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

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          Relegation ~ Division 1