Result
1:1
01/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (222/310) | 75% (278/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (222/310) | 75% (278/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 41% (30/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (44/85) | 62% (84/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Nikolov V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nikolov V. ↓, Antonin ↑,
- 62', Yakuba R. 🟨,
- 66', Wdowiak M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 66', Regula M. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 66', Szmyt K. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
- 66', Sypek J. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 1, Antonin ⚽,
- 69', Davidovic S. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Kosidis M. ⚽, Sypek J. (A),
- 78', Radwanski A. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
- 88', Remacle M. ↓, Strzebonski M. ↑,
- 90+4', Blanik D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
42.8% | Draw
28.3% | Korona Kielce
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.22) |
3.29 ↑
(3.18) |
3.23 ↑
(3.19) |
7%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Korona will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Zagłębie Lubin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Korona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Zagłębie Lubin might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Orlikowski I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Korona: Nono
(Red Card)
Popov V.
(Foot Injury)
Resta P.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Korona Kielce?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce were as follows:
16.03.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
15.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
03.03.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
27.08.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
23.04.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:2
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
