Result
1:2
06/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 20
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/424) | 70% (190/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/424) | 70% (190/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (97/137) | 54% (43/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Remacle M. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Resta P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sypek J. ↓, Mlinaric M. ↑,
- 46', Orlikowski I. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
- 46', Zwozny H. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 46', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
- 58', Resta P. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
- 65', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
- 66', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 78', Kolan J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 80', Antonin ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Szabo L. ⚽,
- 85', Svetlin T. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Pieczek M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
54.5% | Draw
27.2% | Zagłębie Lubin
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(2.01) |
3.43 ↑
(3.12) |
5.1 ↑
(3.3) |
7.1%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
- Korona has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Zagłębie Lubin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Korona is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Korona: Davidovic S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Makowski T.
(Inactive)
Popielec C.
(Inactive)
Regula M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Korona: Popov V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Korona Kielce?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
01.08.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
16.03.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
15.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
03.03.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
27.08.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
