Result
16/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (106/199) | 84% (472/561) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 66% (98/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 19% (5/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (22/33) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 40 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Szmyt K. ⚽, Wdowiak M. (A),
- 30', Dabrowski D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', Sotiriou K. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 64', Godinho M. ↓, Resta P. ↑,
- 68', Wdowiak M. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 74', Resta P. 🟨,
- 76', Dalmau A. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
- 77', Remacle M. ↓, Pedro N. ↑,
- 89', Szmyt K. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 89', Dabrowski D. ↓, Fritzson L. ↑,
- 90+2', Pienko T. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Trojak M. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
47.8% | Draw
27.5% | Korona Kielce
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.19) |
3.4 ↑
(3.33) |
3.81 ↑
(3.24) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Korona will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Zagłębie Lubin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Korona is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Zagłębie Lubin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Zagłębie Lubin will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamczyk H.
(Injury)
Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Radwanski A.
(Yellow Cards)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Matuszewski K.
(Calf Injury)
Zwozny H.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Korona Kielce?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce were as follows:
15.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
03.03.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
27.08.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
23.04.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:2
09.10.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
