Lech Poznań vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
60.6%
Draw
22.1%
Zagłębie Lubin
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 24.6% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 23.7% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.65)
    4.23
    (3.75)
    5.41
    (4.75)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Lech is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1
    17.08.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań 0:1
    10.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0
    06.08.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań 1:1
    19.02.2023 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1