Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/508) | 74% (204/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/508) | 74% (204/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 46% (27/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (121/179) | 51% (32/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Lawniczak A. ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Jagiello F. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
- 37', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 37', Sypek J. 🟨,
- 39', Kocaba F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sypek J. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
- 57', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 64', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 64', Rodriguez P. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 64', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 70', Ismaheel T. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Kosidis M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
- 77', Ismaheel T. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 79', Szmyt K. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 80', Corluka J. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
- 82', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 85', Radwanski A. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
- 90', Palma L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kosidis M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
57.2% | Draw
23.9% | Zagłębie Lubin
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.65) |
3.92 ↑
(3.75) |
5.03 ↑
(4.75) |
5.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Lech is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Lech Poznań?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
23.02.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Zagłębie Lubin
3:1
17.08.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
10.02.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
06.08.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
19.02.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 22:20 | 2 | 21 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Rakow | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Legia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 15 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:32 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 11 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
