Result
0:2
31/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 19% | 81% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (74/128) | 88% (491/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (74/128) | 88% (491/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 59% (19/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 81% (171/210) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 18% (7/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 52 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Dabrowski D. 🟨,
- 39', Michalski D. 🟨,
- 42', Kochergin V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Michalski D. 🟨,
- 51', Wdowiak M. ↓, Jach J. ↑,
- 55', Pienko T. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 55', Listkowski M. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 60', Otieno E. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 62', Rodin M. 🟨,
- 67', Rodin M. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 67', Lopez I. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Brunes J. ⚽, Berggren G. (A),
- 85', Berggren G. 🟨,
- 86', Dabrowski D. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 86', Radwanski A. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 87', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 87', Kochergin V. ↓, Mosor A. ↑,
- 90', Tudor F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Makuch P. ⚽, Rocha L. (A),
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
23% | Draw
27.8% | Raków Częstochowa
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Zagłębie Lubin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(4.06) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
1.9 ↑
(1.89) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(67 of 69 users predict this - 97.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.14% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Zagłębie Lubin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Raków in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Zagłębie Lubin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Raków is a favorite.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Racovitan B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13:26 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Raków Częstochowa?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
22.09.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
5:1
04.05.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:0
05.11.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
5:0
27.05.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:1
12.11.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
