Result
2:0
02/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (184/266) | 83% (416/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (184/266) | 83% (416/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (41/82) | 69% (104/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Grzybek M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Yakuba R. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
- 57', Gallapeni D. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
- 57', Djalo M. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 64', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 64', Diaz J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 64', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Grzybek M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
- 70', Rogelj Z. 🟨,
- 77', Hamulic S. ↓, Juric D. ↑,
- 77', Rogelj Z. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 81', Pacheco D. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,
- 83', Michalski D. 🟨,
- 87', Kocaba F. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
38.9% | Draw
30.1% | Wisła Płock
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.09) |
3.09 ↓
(3.12) |
3.01 ↓
(3.12) |
7.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 55.3% – 85.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Zagłębie Lubin (1.71) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Zagłębie Lubin (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zagłębie Lubin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
- Zagłębie Lubin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wisła Płock has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Lucic L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
Salvador I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Michalski D.
(Injury)
Szabo L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Lecoeuche Q.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Wisła Płock?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Wisła Płock has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock were as follows:
25.08.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:1
29.06.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Wisła Płock
0:2
08.04.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
18.09.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Wisła Płock
2:1
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 45 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 42 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 55:50 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Legia | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
