Result
2:2
17/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.35 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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29 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Passes |
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78% (272/348) | 77% (290/375) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 6 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.35 | 1.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.77 | 2.02 |
Total shots |
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29 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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12 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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19 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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54 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 12 |
Passes |
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78% (272/348) | 77% (290/375) |
Long passes |
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62% (37/60) | 37% (26/70) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (123/176) | 70% (60/86) |
Crosses |
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30% (15/50) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.53 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 14 |
Fouls |
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13 | 9 |
Tackles |
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44% (7/16) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
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51 | 55 |
Clearances |
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11 | 57 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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2.02 | 1.77 |
Goals prevented |
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0.02 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Papp K. 🟨,
- 27', Denes C. 🟨,
- 38', Varkonyi B. 🟨,
- 45', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 0, Silye E. ⚽,
- 59', Kiss B. ↓, Krajcsovics A. ↑,
- 59', Szendrei N. ↓, Amato F. ↑,
- 59', Nyiri V. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 64', Galambos J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 65', Hahn J. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Croizet Y. (Pen),
- 70', Gyurkits G. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 72', Denes C. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 2, Krajcsovics A. ⚽,
- 77', Croizet Y. ↓, Peraza J. ↑,
- 81', Horvath K. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 83', Vecsei B. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 86', Joao Victor ↓, Huszti A. ↑,
- 87', Gundel-Takacs B. 🟨,
- 90', Kinyik A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Csoka Dan. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Toth B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE 48.9% | Draw 24.5% | Zalaegerszegi TE 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Zalaegerszegi TE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zalaegerszegi TE than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (1.93) |
3.75 ↓ (3.81) |
3.49 ↑ (3.36) |
7.8% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE?
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 1.
- Paks is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, ZTE has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- ZTE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.
- Recently, ZTE has had a series of home games.
- Paks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:37. (average 2.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Zalaegerszegi TE?
Paksi SE has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zalaegerszegi TE won against Paksi SE?
Zalaegerszegi TE has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE were as follows:
22.04.2025
Paksi SE
-
Zalaegerszegi TE
2:1
29.03.2025
Zalaegerszegi TE
-
Paksi SE
1:1
24.11.2024
Paksi SE
-
Zalaegerszegi TE
2:2
10.08.2024
Zalaegerszegi TE
-
Paksi SE
3:1
11.05.2024
Zalaegerszegi TE
-
Paksi SE
1:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Paks | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Ferencvaros | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Debrecen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
4 | Puskas Academy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
5 | Kisvarda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Gyor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 9 |
7 | Ujpest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MTK Budapest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
9 | DVTK | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
10 | Nyiregyhaza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
11 | Zalaegerszegi | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 4 |
12 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.