Result
1:0
04/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 19
- Referee: Valikonis R. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', Moutachy J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Dumancic L. ⚽, Setkus M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Norvilas D. ↓, Laton ↑,
- 63', Moutachy J. 🟨,
- 71', Setkus M. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
- 74', Antal L. ↓, Youla M. ↑,
- 74', Lukasevic K. ↓, Matyzonok P. ↑,
- 81', Srebalius P. ↓, Emsis A. ↑,
- 90+6', Tavares B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Žalgiris
62.9% | Draw
20.6% | Banga Gargždai
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris's form might have worsened.Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.32) |
4.47 ↓
(5.03) |
5.58 ↓
(6.93) |
8.5%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Banga will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Žalgiris is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:13. (average 2.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Banga Gargždai?
Žalgiris has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Banga Gargždai won against Žalgiris?
Banga Gargždai has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai were as follows:
03.05.2025
Banga Gargždai
-
Žalgiris
2:0
15.03.2025
Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
1:1
22.02.2025
Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
3:2
01.09.2024
Žalgiris
-
Banga Gargždai
2:1
26.06.2024
Banga Gargždai
-
Žalgiris
0:2
Latest results of Žalgiris
Latest results of Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
