Result
2:2
19/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 16
- Referee: Valikonis R. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Mihajlovic N. ⚽, Matulevicius G. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Haidara A. ⚽, Petkevicius N. (A),
- 35', Zenkevicius G. ↓, Plukas I. ↑,
- 44', Moutachy J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 1, Haidara A. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 2, Verbickas O. ⚽, Moutachy J. (A),
- 67', Lucky T. ↓, Sanokho S. M. ↑,
- 67', Haidara A. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 67', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
- 67', Bicka K. ↓, Lukasevic K. ↑,
- 77', Uzochukwu H. 🟨,
- 82', Abiam N. 🟨,
- 83', Henrique ↓, Chol M. ↑,
- 88', Tangiri F. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,
- 90+3', Petkevicius N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sūduva Marijampolė
30.2% | Draw
29.1% | Žalgiris
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
3.12 ↓
(3.25) |
2.23 ↓
(2.26) |
10.2%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sūduva will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sūduva: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 0.
- Sūduva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Žalgiris is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Žalgiris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Žalgiris?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Žalgiris has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris were as follows:
16.04.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:0
25.08.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
23.06.2024
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
4:0
28.04.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
10.03.2024
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:3
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Latest results of Žalgiris
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
