Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TOPLYGA - Round 4
- Referee: Simenas D. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LNK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Zivanovic A. ↓, Grigalava R. ↑,
- 18', 1 - 0, Matulevicius G. ⚽,
- 30', Mamatsashvili S. 🟨,
- 45+3', Uzochukwu H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Kendysh Y. 🟨,
- 63', Antal L. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
- 63', Sesplaukis D. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
- 63', Milasius T. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,
- 74', Capan M. ↓, Verbickas O. ↑,
- 77', Lucky T. ↓, Bickauskas P. ↑,
- 77', Steponavicius F. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
- 82', Golubickas P. ↓, Teixeira B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Žalgiris
56.6% | Draw
24.8% | Sūduva Marijampolė
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.59) |
3.7 ↓
(3.85) |
4.94 ↓
(5.13) |
9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sūduva will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 3.
- Žalgiris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sūduva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Žalgiris is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Žalgiris will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:16. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Žalgiris has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Žalgiris?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
29.09.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:3
07.08.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
1:0
19.06.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
2:2
16.04.2025
Žalgiris
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:0
25.08.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Žalgiris
1:1
Latest results of Žalgiris
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
