Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Wafa M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (332/390) | 88% (428/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.46 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (332/390) | 88% (428/489) |
| Long passes |
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| 62% (24/39) | 61% (37/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (73/99) | 75% (120/161) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (2/11) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 2.18 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (8/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 31 | 29 |
| Clearances |
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| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.34 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Mansy N. ⚽, Fatouh A. (A),
- 15', Mabululu 🟨,
- 35', El Deeb K. 🟥,
- 41', Mabululu ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 45+2', Shehata M. 🟥,
- 45+3', Gouda A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', El Said A. ↓, Rabie A. ↑,
- 66', Dunga M. ↓, Isaac S. ↑,
- 70', Fatouh A. ↓, El Sayed M. ↑,
- 70', Banza C. ↓, Dabbagh O. ↑,
- 80', Hassan M. I. ↓, Gaber O. ↑,
- 86', Emad M. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 86', Mansy N. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zamalek
64.1% | Draw
24.1% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamalek's performance.Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamalek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+4%)
Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.67) |
3.86 ↑
(3.28) |
7.86 ↑
(5.54) |
7.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Zamalek (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Zamalek will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamalek will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
- Al-Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Zamalek is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Zamalek has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Zamalek?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
01.01.2026
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Zamalek
3:0
29.12.2024
Zamalek
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
27.05.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Zamalek
0:2
11.04.2024
Zamalek
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
3:0
05.06.2023
Zamalek
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:1
Latest results of Zamalek
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
