Zaragoza vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ibercaja Estadio (Zaragoza).

LaLiga2 - Round 30
Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, Canal Sur Andalucía, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.78	0.74
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Passes
74% (227/306)	87% (440/505)
Yellow cards
4	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.78	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.22	0.03
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
23	24
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
74% (227/306)	87% (440/505)
Long passes
31% (15/48)	57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
50% (46/92)	72% (85/118)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.38	1.06
Throw ins
20	20
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
57% (8/14)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
45	37
Clearances
9	19
Interceptions
15	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.03	1.22
Goals prevented
0.03	-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Chirino D. 🟨,
28', Munoz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Bare K. 🟨,
58', Munoz A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
58', Leo Baptistao ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
58', Navarro D. 🟨,
66', Bare K. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
67', Kodro K. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
70', Morcillo J. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
72', Insua P. 🟨,
73', Pinilla H. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
73', Larios J. 🟨,
75', Embarba A. 🟨,
78', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
78', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Cuenca M. A. (A),
86', Puigmal A. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
90+6', Gomez D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yyy9994s

Chances of winning

Zaragoza
31.7%

Draw
28.4%

Almería
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Zaragoza - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.84)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.37 ↓ (2.43)	6.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Almería?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Zaragoza (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almería (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1.
Zaragoza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almería is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S. (Muscle Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) El Yamiq J. (Muscle Injury) Guti R. (Injury) Moya T. (Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) Saidu Y. (Injury) Tachi (Knee Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Almería?

Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Zaragoza?

Almería has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zaragoza - Almería were as follows:

11.10.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:2

15.03.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:1

20.10.2024 Zaragoza - Almería 1:2

Latest results of Zaragoza

06.03.2026 Cádiz - Zaragoza 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 FC Andorra - Zaragoza 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Zaragoza - Eibar 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Almería

09.03.2026 Almería - Leonesa 3:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Albacete Balompié - Almería 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Almería - Córdoba 2:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Almería - FC Andorra 3:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Cádiz - Almería 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation