Almería vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.59
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
145
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (451/525)84% (314/374)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.992.85
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
145
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
86% (451/525)84% (314/374)
Long passes
50% (24/48)63% (27/43)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)71% (67/94)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.251.27
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1812
Tackles
67% (10/15)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
2.853.99
Goals prevented
0.85-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 22', Guti R. 🟨,
  • 44', Moya T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Gomez D. , Kodro K. ,
  • 46', Munoz A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Chirino D. , Embarba A. (A),
  • 51', 2 - 0, Embarba A. ,
  • 62', Cuenca M. A. , Sans P. ,
  • 62', Moya T. , Soberon M. ,
  • 64', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 64', Gui Guedes , Lopy D. ,
  • 70', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 70', Tasende D. , Valery ,
  • 74', Melamed N. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 78', Moyano F. , Pinilla H. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Kodro K. ,
  • 87', Centelles A. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Puigmal A. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soberon M. , Francho (A),
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Lopy D. , Baba I. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yfhfapcj

Chances of winning


Almería
56.3%
Draw
24.6%
Zaragoza
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 22.8% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.4% 19.6%

Almería - Zaragoza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.63)
3.85
(4.1)
4.95
(4.66)
5.9%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Zaragoza?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Zaragoza (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Almería (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Zaragoza (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (International duty) Iribarne B. (International duty) Perovic M. (International duty) Soko P. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P. (Red Card) Bazdar S. (International duty) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Lopy D. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Zaragoza were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:1
    20.10.2024 Zaragoza - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Almería
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    05.10.2025 Zaragoza - Córdoba 0:1
    26.09.2025 Mirandés - Zaragoza 0:1
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation