Almería vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
11/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.59
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
145
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (451/525)84% (314/374)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.992.85
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
145
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3217
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
86% (451/525)84% (314/374)
Long passes
50% (24/48)63% (27/43)
Passes in final third
75% (99/132)71% (67/94)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.251.27
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1812
Tackles
67% (10/15)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
2.853.99
Goals prevented
0.85-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 22', Guti R. 🟨,
  • 44', Moya T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Gomez D. , Kodro K. ,
  • 46', Munoz A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Chirino D. , Embarba A. (A),
  • 51', 2 - 0, Embarba A. ,
  • 62', Cuenca M. A. , Sans P. ,
  • 62', Moya T. , Soberon M. ,
  • 64', Leo Baptistao , Thalys ,
  • 64', Gui Guedes , Lopy D. ,
  • 70', Chirino D. , Luna M. ,
  • 70', Tasende D. , Valery ,
  • 74', Melamed N. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 78', Moyano F. , Pinilla H. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Kodro K. ,
  • 87', Centelles A. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Puigmal A. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soberon M. , Francho (A),
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Lopy D. , Baba I. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yfhfapcj

Chances of winning


Almería
56.3%
Draw
24.6%
Zaragoza
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 22.8% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.4% 19.6%

Almería - Zaragoza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.63)
3.85
(4.1)
4.95
(4.66)
5.9%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (International duty) Iribarne B. (International duty) Perovic M. (International duty) Soko P. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P. (Red Card) Bazdar S. (International duty) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Lopy D. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Zaragoza were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:1
    20.10.2024 Zaragoza - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Almería
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    05.10.2025 Zaragoza - Córdoba 0:1
    26.09.2025 Mirandés - Zaragoza 0:1
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1685318:10829
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1674521:15625
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Granada CF1748520:22-220
    14Malaga1654720:21-119
    15Leganes1747616:18-219
    16Albacete1654722:27-519
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1643917:26-915
    22Zaragoza1643913:26-1315

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation