Almería vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Almería - Zaragoza
Result
4:1
15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
Almería - Zaragoza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.19
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
83
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Free Kicks
189
Offsides
22
Fouls
918
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1417
Touches in the Opposition Box
2616
Passes
78% (312/400)79% (354/448)
Passes in the final third
56% (56/100)57% (63/110)
Crosses
18% (3/17)20% (2/10)
Tackles
55% (16/29)54% (7/13)
Clearances Total
2320
Interceptions
1610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 16', 2 - 0, Suarez L. , Puigmal A. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Gonzalez E. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', Luna M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 3 - 1, Melamed N. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tasende D. , Calero I. ,
  • 46', Puigmal A. , Pozo A. ,
  • 53', 4 - 1, Pubill M. , Robertone L. (A),
  • 60', Moya T. , Guti R. ,
  • 60', Soberon M. , Bazdar S. ,
  • 60', Luna M. , Liso A. ,
  • 66', Melamed N. , Lazaro ,
  • 66', Robertone L. , Clua Oya S. ,
  • 78', Melero G. , Arribas S. ,
  • 81', Bazdar S. 🟥,
  • 87', Pubill M. , Perovic M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Almería
58.4%
Draw
23.8%
Zaragoza
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 24% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 19.6% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Almería - Zaragoza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.66)
    3.96
    (3.92)
    5.33
    (4.89)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Almería - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 3.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Almería is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Inactive) Fettal R. (Knee Injury) Gui Guedes (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Guti R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Inactive) Nieto C. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Almería won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Zaragoza were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Zaragoza - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Almería
    07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    08.03.2025 Zaragoza - Eldense 2:4
    22.02.2025 Granada - Zaragoza 2:2
    16.02.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Zaragoza?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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