Málaga vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 17
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainAragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.642.00
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
79% (254/320)86% (472/549)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.642.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.791.97
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2940
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
711
Passes
79% (254/320)86% (472/549)
Long passes
47% (28/60)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)73% (90/124)
Crosses
25% (5/20)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.24
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
117
Tackles
67% (10/15)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
2623
Interceptions
61
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.972.79
Goals prevented
0.971.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Insua P. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Galilea E. ,
  • 29', Pomares C. 🟨,
  • 39', Garcia V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Radovanovic A. , Tachi ,
  • 66', Pomares C. , Tasende D. ,
  • 66', Valery , Cuenca M. A. ,
  • 66', Lorenzo D. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 73', Munoz J. , Lobete J. ,
  • 73', Nino A. , Chupe ,
  • 76', Kodro K. , Gomez D. ,
  • 76', Soberon M. , Moya T. ,
  • 83', Puga C. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 83', Dotor C. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 87', Galilea E. 🟨,
  • 88', Tachi 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lobete J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Recio A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Gomez D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+8', Andrada E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Málaga
42.1%
Draw
30.9%
Zaragoza
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 31.4% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 32.5% 23.3%

Málaga - Zaragoza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.24
(2.13)
3.04
(3.01)
3.5
(3.92)
6.1%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Málaga - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Zaragoza were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:2
    17.11.2024 Zaragoza - Málaga 0:0
    20.02.2023 Málaga - Zaragoza 3:0
    19.11.2022 Zaragoza - Málaga 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    29.11.2025 Valladolid - Málaga 1:1
    23.11.2025 Málaga - Mirandés 3:2
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    08.11.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 2:2
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    04.12.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    30.11.2025 Zaragoza - Leganés 3:2
    22.11.2025 Eibar - Zaragoza 1:2
    16.11.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:0
    09.11.2025 Granada - Zaragoza 3:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander17112440:251535
    2Dep. La Coruna1795332:171532
    3Almeria1795333:221132
    4Las Palmas1786318:10830
    5Castellon1784527:21628
    6Burgos CF1774621:16525
    7Ceuta1774618:21-325
    8Valladolid1766520:15524
    9Gijon1773721:23-224
    10Cadiz CF1766516:18-224
    11Cultural Leonesa1772820:22-223
    12Cordoba1757521:22-122
    13Albacete1764723:27-422
    14Malaga1755721:22-120
    15Granada CF1748520:22-220
    16Leganes1747616:18-219
    17Huesca1754815:23-819
    18Real Sociedad B1753923:26-318
    19Andorra1746719:26-718
    20Eibar1745818:24-617
    21Mirandes1744917:26-916
    22Zaragoza1744914:27-1316

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