Result
1:1
08/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 17
- Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Finland | MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Spain | Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 86% (472/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 86% (472/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 73% (90/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Insua P. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Galilea E. ⚽,
- 29', Pomares C. 🟨,
- 39', Garcia V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Radovanovic A. ↓, Tachi ↑,
- 66', Pomares C. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
- 66', Valery ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
- 66', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 73', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
- 73', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
- 76', Kodro K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 76', Soberon M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
- 83', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
- 83', Dotor C. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
- 87', Galilea E. 🟨,
- 88', Tachi 🟨,
- 90+2', Lobete J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Recio A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Gomez D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Andrada E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Málaga
42.1% | Draw
30.9% | Zaragoza
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Málaga - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.13) |
3.04 ↑
(3.01) |
3.5 ↓
(3.92) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Málaga - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Zaragoza (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D.
(Knee Injury)
Diarra M.
(Knee Injury)
Dorrio J.
(Muscle Injury)
Enriquez R.
(Knee Injury)
Juanpe
(Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Kosa S.
(Injury)
de la Fuente P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Zaragoza?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Málaga?
Zaragoza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Zaragoza were as follows:
26.01.2025
Málaga
-
Zaragoza
1:2
17.11.2024
Zaragoza
-
Málaga
0:0
20.02.2023
Málaga
-
Zaragoza
3:0
19.11.2022
Zaragoza
-
Málaga
1:1
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
