Real Oviedo vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 40
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, GXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.13
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (456/535)73% (218/300)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.61
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
167
Passes
85% (456/535)73% (218/300)
Long passes
50% (26/52)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
76% (127/168)53% (39/74)
Crosses
29% (6/21)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.17
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
716
Tackles
73% (11/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.611.01
Goals prevented
0.450.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lopez L. , Vital B. ,
  • 30', Vinas F. , Alemao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Arriaga K. 🟨,
  • 61', Cazorla S. (Pen),
  • 67', Hassan H. , de la Fuente P. ,
  • 67', Cazorla S. , Cardero A. ,
  • 68', Portillo F. , Seoane J. ,
  • 69', Soberon M. , Gomez D. ,
  • 69', Liso A. , Aketxe A. ,
  • 74', Tasende D. , Clemente E. ,
  • 82', Sans P. 🟨,
  • 86', Colombatto S. , Paraschiv D. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, de la Fuente P. , Paraschiv D. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/fnekacfy

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
44.8%
Draw
30%
Zaragoza
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 28.1% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.6% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.
  • Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Oviedo - Zaragoza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.82)
    3.18
    (3.35)
    3.78
    (4.68)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Zaragoza?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Oviedo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Guti R. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Zaragoza were as follows:
    17.12.2024 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 2:3
    12.05.2024 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0
    06.11.2023 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 0:0
    07.05.2023 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 2:1
    09.10.2022 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 1:1
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    03.05.2025 Huesca - Real Oviedo 1:2
    26.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Levante 1:0
    20.04.2025 Córdoba - Real Oviedo 0:0
    12.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 3:0
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    10.05.2025 Zaragoza - Cartagena 3:2
    04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2
    27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1
    19.04.2025 Levante - Zaragoza 5:2
    12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation