Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 40
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, GXR World |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 73% (218/300) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 73% (218/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/168) | 53% (39/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Lopez L. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
- 30', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Arriaga K. 🟨,
- 61', Cazorla S. (Pen),
- 67', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
- 67', Cazorla S. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
- 68', Portillo F. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
- 69', Soberon M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 69', Liso A. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
- 74', Tasende D. ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
- 82', Sans P. 🟨,
- 86', Colombatto S. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, de la Fuente P. ⚽, Paraschiv D. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/fnekacfy
Chances of winning
Real Oviedo
44.8% | Draw
30% | Zaragoza
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Oviedo - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.82) |
3.18 ↓
(3.35) |
3.78 ↓
(4.68) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
Real Oviedo will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Oviedo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
- Oviedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L.
(Muscle Injury)
Lemos A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K.
(Calf Injury)
Guti R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Zaragoza?
Real Oviedo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Real Oviedo?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Zaragoza were as follows:
17.12.2024
Zaragoza
-
Real Oviedo
2:3
12.05.2024
Real Oviedo
-
Zaragoza
1:0
06.11.2023
Zaragoza
-
Real Oviedo
0:0
07.05.2023
Real Oviedo
-
Zaragoza
2:1
09.10.2022
Zaragoza
-
Real Oviedo
1:1
Latest results of Real Oviedo
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Cadiz CF | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Huesca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gijon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Malaga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Eibar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Andorra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Mirandes | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Burgos CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Almeria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Leganes | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Ceuta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Castellon | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Albacete | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 1 |
| 21 | Granada CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
