Real Oviedo vs Zaragoza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 40
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
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brazilBrazilDisney+
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croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, GXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.13
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (456/535)73% (218/300)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.61
Total shots
144
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
167
Passes
85% (456/535)73% (218/300)
Long passes
50% (26/52)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
76% (127/168)53% (39/74)
Crosses
29% (6/21)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.17
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
716
Tackles
73% (11/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.611.01
Goals prevented
0.450.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lopez L. , Vital B. ,
  • 30', Vinas F. , Alemao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Arriaga K. 🟨,
  • 61', Cazorla S. (Pen),
  • 67', Hassan H. , de la Fuente P. ,
  • 67', Cazorla S. , Cardero A. ,
  • 68', Portillo F. , Seoane J. ,
  • 69', Soberon M. , Gomez D. ,
  • 69', Liso A. , Aketxe A. ,
  • 74', Tasende D. , Clemente E. ,
  • 82', Sans P. 🟨,
  • 86', Colombatto S. , Paraschiv D. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, de la Fuente P. , Paraschiv D. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/fnekacfy

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
44.8%
Draw
30%
Zaragoza
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 28.1% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.6% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.
  • Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Oviedo - Zaragoza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.82)
    3.18
    (3.35)
    3.78
    (4.68)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Zaragoza?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Guti R. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Zaragoza were as follows:
    17.12.2024 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 2:3
    12.05.2024 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0
    06.11.2023 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 0:0
    07.05.2023 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 2:1
    09.10.2022 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 1:1
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    03.05.2025 Huesca - Real Oviedo 1:2
    26.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Levante 1:0
    20.04.2025 Córdoba - Real Oviedo 0:0
    12.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 3:0
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    10.05.2025 Zaragoza - Cartagena 3:2
    04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2
    27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1
    19.04.2025 Levante - Zaragoza 5:2
    12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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          Relegation