Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 11
- Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DSports 6 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Ecuador | DSports 6 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
 Uruguay | DSports 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (159/237) | 83% (380/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (159/237) | 83% (380/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (15/53) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 77% (113/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 21% (8/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Otero J. ⚽, Gelabert Pina C. (A),
- 36', Campos G. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
- 39', Radovanovic A. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
- 45+5', Otero J. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
- 45+8', Dubasin J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
- 60', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 61', Soberon M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
- 61', Tachi ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
- 63', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
- 72', Corredera A. 🟨,
- 75', Valery ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
- 83', Corredera A. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 84', Rosas G. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yz6pydyx
Chances of winning
Sporting de Gijón
53.3% | Draw
27% | Zaragoza
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.91) |
3.49 ↓
(3.52) |
4.67 ↑
(4.01) |
5.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Sporting de Gijón (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sporting de Gijón will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2.
- Sporting de Gijón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zaragoza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting de Gijón is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Joel C.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P.
(Red Card)
Bare K.
(Surgery)
Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Sebastian J.
(Red Card)
de la Fuente P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Zaragoza?
Sporting de Gijón has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Sporting de Gijón?
Zaragoza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza were as follows:
01.03.2025
Zaragoza
-
Sporting de Gijón
1:1
28.09.2024
Sporting de Gijón
-
Zaragoza
1:0
05.02.2024
Zaragoza
-
Sporting de Gijón
3:0
14.10.2023
Sporting de Gijón
-
Zaragoza
2:2
22.01.2023
Sporting de Gijón
-
Zaragoza
1:0
Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
