Result
1:0
30/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Dao Y. ⚽,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 83', 🟨,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsa
42.8% | Draw
31.2% | Zarzis
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Zarzis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Marsa - Zarzis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.25) |
2.94 ↑
(2.8) |
3.52 ↑
(3) |
9.2%
(13.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Marsa - Zarzis?
Users Predictions:
Marsa will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2.
- Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zarzis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zarzis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Marsa has had a series of away games.
- Marsa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Zarzis?
Marsa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zarzis won against Marsa?
Zarzis has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Zarzis were as follows:
02.11.2025
Zarzis
-
Marsa
Abandoned
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club Africain | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 39:9 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 36:12 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:12 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Monastir | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Etoile Sahel | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Metlaoui | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 36 |
| 8 | JS Omrane | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 21:28 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Ben Guerdane | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 18:20 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | CA Bizertin | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | Zarzis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | AS Marsa | 27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 15:35 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 17:41 | -24 | 24 |
| 15 | Soliman | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 13:28 | -15 | 21 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 11:33 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
