Result
12:22
17/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Variety 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 12)
- 16', Prendergast C. (Try),
- 17', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Bolton S. (Try),
- 36', Stavile B. (Try),
- 37', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 10)
- 61', Hurley-Langton S. (Try),
- 62', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Trulla J. (Try),
- 69', Devine M. 🟨,
- 78', Hanrahan J. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Zebre
39.2% | Draw
4.2% | Connacht
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zebre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connacht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zebre - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.3) |
21.95 ↑
(21.5) |
1.64 ↓
(1.69) |
8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Zebre - Connacht?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:31.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.
- Zebre has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Connacht has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 301:703. (average 15.1:35.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 176:345. (average 17.6:34.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zebre won against Connacht?
Zebre has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Zebre?
Connacht has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zebre - Connacht were as follows:
07.12.2024
Connacht
-
Zebre
43:12
20.04.2024
Connacht
-
Zebre
54:16
18.02.2023
Zebre
-
Connacht
34:57
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Munster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 77:60 | 13 |
| 3 | Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 92:71 | 10 |
| 4 | Zebre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 53:48 | 9 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53:43 | 7 |
| 6 | Glasgow Warriors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49:35 | 6 |
| 7 | Ulster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42:21 | 5 |
| 8 | Connacht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:15 | 5 |
| 9 | Benetton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31:40 | 4 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47:51 | 3 |
| 11 | Sharks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36:52 | 2 |
| 12 | Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38:59 | 2 |
| 13 | Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40:55 | 1 |
| 14 | Ospreys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50:79 | 1 |
| 15 | Leinster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:74 | 1 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:68 | 0 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
