Result
15:31
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (12 - 31)
Chances of winning
Zebre
32.7% | Draw
4.4% | Connacht
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zebre's performance.Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connacht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zebre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connacht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zebre - Connacht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(3.41) |
20.99 ↓
(22.41) |
1.46 ↑
(1.36) |
8.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
What is the prediction for Zebre - Connacht?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 20:26.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.
- Zebre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Connacht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 307:692. (average 15.4:34.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 182:334. (average 18.2:33.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zebre won against Connacht?
Zebre has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Zebre?
Connacht has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zebre - Connacht were as follows:
17.05.2025
Zebre
-
Connacht
12:22
07.12.2024
Connacht
-
Zebre
43:12
20.04.2024
Connacht
-
Zebre
54:16
18.02.2023
Zebre
-
Connacht
34:57
Latest results of Connacht
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 389:197 | 54 |
| 2 | Stormers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 345:225 | 46 |
| 3 | Leinster | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 361:299 | 45 |
| 4 | Ulster | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 371:274 | 42 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 262:271 | 41 |
| 6 | Munster | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 248:270 | 39 |
| 7 | Lions | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 379:359 | 38 |
| 8 | Bulls | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 363:309 | 35 |
| 9 | Connacht | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 315:312 | 35 |
| 10 | Sharks | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 322:348 | 33 |
| 11 | Ospreys | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 279:304 | 29 |
| 12 | Benetton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 257:331 | 28 |
| 13 | Edinburgh | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 255:307 | 23 |
| 14 | Scarlets | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 261:347 | 21 |
| 15 | Dragons | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 248:315 | 20 |
| 16 | Zebre | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 214:401 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
