Zebre vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Zebre - Connacht
Result
12:22
17/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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irelandIrelandTG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
mexicoMexicoDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC

Match Stats

Tries
23
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 12)
  • 16', Prendergast C. (Try),
  • 17', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Bolton S. (Try),
  • 36', Stavile B. (Try),
  • 37', Montemauri G. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (5 - 10)
  • 61', Hurley-Langton S. (Try),
  • 62', Hanrahan J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Trulla J. (Try),
  • 69', Devine M. 🟨,
  • 78', Hanrahan J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Zebre
39.2%
Draw
4.2%
Connacht
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 4.3% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 4.8% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zebre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connacht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zebre - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.3)
    22.29
    (21.5)
    1.64
    (1.69)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Zebre - Connacht?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:31.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.
    • Zebre has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Connacht has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 301:703. (average 15.1:35.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 176:345. (average 17.6:34.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zebre - Connacht were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Connacht - Zebre 43:12
    20.04.2024 Connacht - Zebre 54:16
    18.02.2023 Zebre - Connacht 34:57
    Latest results of Zebre
    10.05.2025 Leinster - Zebre 76:5
    25.04.2025 Zebre - Edinburgh 25:25
    19.04.2025 Zebre - Glasgow Warriors 6:14
    29.03.2025 Blue Bulls - Zebre 63:24
    22.03.2025 Sharks - Zebre 35:34
    Latest results of Connacht
    10.05.2025 Connacht - Edinburgh 21:31
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    19.04.2025 Stormers - Connacht 34:29
    12.04.2025 Connacht - Racing Métro 40:43
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7