Result
1:1
04/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/304) | 85% (437/517) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/304) | 85% (437/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 67% (104/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rabia M. 🟨,
- 11', Mohsen S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', Sharaf A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Khalil R. ⚽, Messi (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Wahab Nader A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Mohsen S. ⚽, Temine M. (A),
- 65', Sharaf A. ↓, El Shami M. ↑,
- 65', Bambo K. ↓, Deghmoum A. ↑,
- 69', Khalil R. ↓, Saber M. ↑,
- 70', El Saaiy O. ↓, El Armouty A. ↑,
- 70', Wahab Nader A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
- 80', Temine M. ↓, Eduwo K. ↑,
- 83', Kabaka ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
- 83', Saad M. ↓, Bakri A. ↑,
- 89', Magassa M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
- 89', Messi ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
- 90+5', Lotfi A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tarek A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ZED
34.4% | Draw
33.5% | Al Masry
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ZED's performance.Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Masry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Masry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ZED - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.18) |
2.78 ↓
(2.83) |
2.9 ↑
(2.45) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for ZED - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Al Masry will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 10.6% – 60.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Masry will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2.
- ZED is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Masry has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- ZED may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Al Masry?
ZED has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against ZED?
Al Masry has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ZED - Al Masry were as follows:
21.01.2026
ZED
-
Al Masry
1:0
19.12.2025
Al Masry
-
ZED
1:0
19.03.2025
Al Masry
-
ZED
1:1
01.02.2025
ZED
-
Al Masry
1:1
14.08.2024
Al Masry
-
ZED
0:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
