Result
1:1
04/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/304) | 85% (437/517) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/304) | 85% (437/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 67% (104/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rabia M. 🟨,
- 11', Mohsen S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', Sharaf A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Khalil R. ⚽, Messi (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Wahab Nader A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Mohsen S. ⚽, Temine M. (A),
- 65', Sharaf A. ↓, El Shami M. ↑,
- 65', Bambo K. ↓, Deghmoum A. ↑,
- 69', Khalil R. ↓, Saber M. ↑,
- 70', El Saaiy O. ↓, El Armouty A. ↑,
- 70', Wahab Nader A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
- 80', Temine M. ↓, Eduwo K. ↑,
- 83', Kabaka ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
- 83', Saad M. ↓, Bakri A. ↑,
- 89', Magassa M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
- 89', Messi ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
- 90+5', Lotfi A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tarek A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ZED
34.4% | Draw
33.5% | Al Masry
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ZED's performance.Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Masry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Masry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ZED - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.18) |
2.78 ↓
(2.83) |
2.9 ↑
(2.45) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for ZED - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Al Masry will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 10.6% – 60.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Masry will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2.
- ZED is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Masry has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- ZED may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ZED won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Al Masry?
ZED has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against ZED?
Al Masry has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ZED - Al Masry were as follows:
21.01.2026
ZED
-
Al Masry
1:0
19.12.2025
Al Masry
-
ZED
1:0
19.03.2025
Al Masry
-
ZED
1:1
01.02.2025
ZED
-
Al Masry
1:1
14.08.2024
Al Masry
-
ZED
0:1
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
