Result
2:1 penalties
14/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Egypt Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/242) | 82% (454/557) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (162/242) | 82% (454/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (37/77) | 55% (60/110) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (43/89) | 55% (80/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Bakri A. 🟨,
- 32', Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Abou-Salima I. 🟨,
- 62', Hafez A. ↓, Nail A. ↑,
- 66', Khalil R. ↓, Atef A. ↑,
- 66', Messi ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Hamdi M. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
- 75', 1 - 1, Magassa M. ⚽,
- 79', Kabaka ↓, Ahmed El Sageery ↑,
- 84', Bayoumi M. ↓, El Deghemy M. ↑,
- 90', Hamdi M. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 98', Abid A. 🟨,
- 103', Abid A. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
- 104', Nail A. ↓, Twum M. ↑,
- 116', Castelo A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 116', Magassa M. ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
- 120', Lotfi A. ↓, Mazzika M. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Haras El-Hodood
22.4% | Draw
32.4% | ZED
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Haras El-Hodood - ZED Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(4.06) |
2.83 ↓
(2.85) |
2.03 ↑
(2.01) |
9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Haras El-Hodood - ZED?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Haras El-Hodood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ZED is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, ZED is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against ZED?
Haras El-Hodood has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Haras El-Hodood?
ZED has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haras El-Hodood - ZED were as follows:
31.12.2025
ZED
-
Haras El-Hodood
2:0
27.09.2025
ZED
-
Haras El-Hodood
0:1
30.11.2024
ZED
-
Haras El-Hodood
2:0
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Draw
2025/261/16-finals| 1 | Haras El Hodood | El Ismaily | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Smouha | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | ZED | Alo Egypt | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Al Masry | Dekernes | 4 : 2 |
| 5 | Al Ahly | WE SC | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Pharco | Telephonaat Beni Suef | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | Bur Fouad | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Enppi | Arab Contractors | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Petrojet | Wadi Degla | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Modern Sport | Al Qanah | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | El Gouna | Asyut Petroleum | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Pyramids | Masar | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Zamalek | Baladiyat El Mahalla | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Abu Qir Semad | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | El Gaish | Al-Sekka | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Haras El Hodood | Smouha | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | ZED | Al Masry | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | WE SC | Pharco | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | National Bank Egypt | Enppi | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Petrojet | Modern Sport | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | El Gouna | Pyramids | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Zamalek | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | El Gaish | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Haras El Hodood | ZED | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | WE SC | Enppi | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Petrojet | Pyramids | |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | El Gaish | |
