Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Papunashvili G. ⚽,
- 10', Rossi K. 🟨,
- 44', Martins Junior 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Msanga A. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, Rossi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Guima ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
- 62', Martins Junior ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 78', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
- 78', Nuriyev C. ↓, Kuliyev E. ↑,
- 83', Mammadov O. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
- 83', Aliyev Q. ↓, Muradov R. ↑,
- 88', Msanga A. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 90+4', Apolinario R. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,
- 90+6', Kuliyev E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
21.1% | Draw
31.1% | Zira
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamakhi's form might have worsened.Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamakhi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Shamakhi - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(3.02) |
2.96 ↓
(3.34) |
1.93 ↓
(2.19) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Zira?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Zira has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Zira is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:31. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Zira?
Shamakhi has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Shamakhi?
Zira has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Zira were as follows:
19.09.2025
Zira
-
Shamakhi
2:1
30.03.2025
Zira
-
Shamakhi
3:0
24.01.2025
Shamakhi
-
Zira
1:2
04.12.2024
Zira
-
Shamakhi
3:1
02.11.2024
Shamakhi
-
Zira
0:2
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
