Znamya Truda vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
26/09/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Turishchev M. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Kuznetsov P. ,
  • 27', Kuznetsov P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Turishchev M. , Lee Sa D. ,
  • 46', Mukhin A. , Nikitin A. ,
  • 49', Lee Sa D. 🟨,
  • 63', Razdorskikh N. 🟥,
  • 66', Weber D. , Grebenshchikov A. ,
  • 66', Azyavin I. , Harutyunov A. ,
  • 68', Sentyurin M. 🟨,
  • 70', Lavrenkov A. , Vorobyov K. ,
  • 70', Sobolev D. , Kostyuk M. ,
  • 74', Veretennikov N. , Timofeev D. ,
  • 83', Neplyuev D. , Kapanzhi S. M. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Dmitriev O. (Pen),
  • 1, Sentyurin M. (Pen),
  • 2, Korotkov A. (Pen),
  • 2, Shishkov R. (Pen),
  • 3, Shevchenko E. (Pen),
  • 3, Kuznetsov P. (Pen),
  • 4, Zhilkin G. (Pen),
  • 4, Vorobyov K. (Pen),
  • 5, Pechenkin N. (Pen),
  • 5, Urkhov R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Znamya Truda
9.1%
Draw
19.2%
Arsenal Tula
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 21.6% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8% 21% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Znamya Truda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Tula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Znamya Truda - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.1
    (7.03)
    4.8
    (4.3)
    1.29
    (1.42)
    8.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Znamya Truda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Znamya Truda
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar