Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Budkivsky P. ⚽, Andjusic N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Fedor O. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
- 63', Alvarez P. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
- 69', Vantukh R. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,
- 75', Micin P. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
- 81', Baboglo V. 🟨,
- 85', Budkivsky P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Krasnopir I. ↓, Kostenko Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Slesar A. ↓, Dryshlyuk K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zorya Luhansk 32.6% | Draw 27.9% | Karpaty Lviv 39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-3%)
Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.63) |
3.35 ↑ (3.34) |
2.37 ↓ (2.64) |
6.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:16. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Zorya Luhansk won against Karpaty Lviv?
Zorya Luhansk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karpaty Lviv won against Zorya Luhansk?
Karpaty Lviv has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv were as follows:
25.05.2025
Karpaty Lviv
-
Zorya Luhansk
1:3
02.12.2024
Zorya Luhansk
-
Karpaty Lviv
2:1
Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LNZ Cherkasy | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 33:12 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 51:12 | 39 | 50 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 37:15 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 49:24 | 25 | 41 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Kryvbas | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Karpaty Lviv | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Obolon | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:36 | -16 | 25 |
| 11 | Veres-Rivne | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 16:35 | -19 | 19 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 12 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga