Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty Lviv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15
  • Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
29
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
84
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
29
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
815
Fouls
1510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Budkivsky P. , Andjusic N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Fedor O. , Karabin Y. ,
  • 63', Alvarez P. , Paulo V. ,
  • 69', Vantukh R. , Malysh N. ,
  • 75', Micin P. , Basic J. ,
  • 81', Baboglo V. 🟨,
  • 85', Budkivsky P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Krasnopir I. , Kostenko Y. ,
  • 90+3', Slesar A. , Dryshlyuk K. ,

Chances of winning


Zorya Luhansk
32.6%
Draw
27.9%
Karpaty Lviv
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 28.3% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 28.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.63)
    3.35
    (3.34)
    2.37
    (2.64)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:16. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk 1:3
    02.12.2024 Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv 2:1
    Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
    Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk20145148:123647
    2LNZ Cherkasy20142428:111744
    3Polissya Zhytomyr21133536:142242
    4Dyn. Kyiv20115444:232138
    5Kryvbas2087531:27431
    6Metalist 19251987422:13931
    7Kolos Kovalivka2078519:20-129
    8FK Zorya Luhansk2077627:24328
    9Obolon2066817:29-1224
    10Karpaty Lviv2058725:26-123
    11Veres-Rivne1957716:23-722
    12Kudrivka21561024:35-1121
    13Epitsentr20621224:33-920
    14Rukh Lviv20611315:30-1519
    15Oleksandriya20251314:35-2111
    16SC Poltava20231516:51-359

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga