Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (269/368) | 75% (344/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (269/368) | 75% (344/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 31% (23/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (60/107) | 65% (97/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Ligue J. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
- 39', Comenencia L. 🟨,
- 42', Vouilloz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Ajeti Al. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Salah I. ⚽, Shaqiri X. (A),
- 60', Traore B. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 70', Ligue J. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 70', Keny P. P. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 70', Tsawa C. ↓, Krasniqi B. ↑,
- 73', Otele P. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 76', Salah I. 🟨,
- 77', Phaeton M. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
- 89', Shaqiri X. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
- 89', Kamberi L. ↓, Okafor I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Basel
62.2% | Draw
19.9% | Zürich
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Basel - Zürich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.61) |
4.63 ↓
(4.67) |
5.14 ↑
(4.5) |
6.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Basel - Zürich?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- Basel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zürich is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Basel is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Basel: Tsunemoto K.
(Hamstring Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Zürich: Reichmuth M.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Zürich: Sauter I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Zürich?
Basel has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Basel?
Zürich has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Zürich were as follows:
12.04.2025
Zürich
-
Basel
0:4
02.02.2025
Zürich
-
Basel
0:1
21.09.2024
Basel
-
Zürich
0:2
30.03.2024
Basel
-
Zürich
2:2
21.01.2024
Zürich
-
Basel
0:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 26:15 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 30:23 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Basel | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Lugano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Sion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Zurich | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 8 | Luzern | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 16 |
| 10 | Servette | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:29 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:42 | -23 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
