Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 23
- Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (387/457) | 79% (249/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (387/457) | 79% (249/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (27/44) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (120/158) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Sauter I. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Sauter I. ⚽, Di Giusto N. (A),
- 36', Leroy L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Koloto G. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
- 58', Duranville J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 63', Kacuri D. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
- 63', Ruegg K. ↓, Tsunemoto K. ↑,
- 71', Di Giusto N. ↓, Odera D. ↑,
- 77', Kablan C. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 82', Traore B. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 85', Reverson D. 🟨,
- 86', Reverson D. ↓, Nvendo Ferrier V. ↑,
- 87', Emmanuel U. ↓, Ihendu K. ↑,
- 88', Comenencia L. 🟨,
- 89', Nvendo Ferrier V. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Shaqiri X. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Salah I. ⚽, Bacanin A. (A),
Chances of winning
Basel
61% | Draw
20.8% | Zürich
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Basel - Zürich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
4.48 ↓
(4.69) |
5.12 ↑
(4.43) |
6.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Basel - Zürich?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Zürich will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Basel (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Basel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Basel (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 4.
- Basel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zürich has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Zürich has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Basel is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Basel: Broschinski M.
(Knee Injury)
Kaio Eduardo
(Injury)
Metinho
(Injury)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zürich: Keny P. P.
(Yellow Cards)
Perea J.
(Muscle Injury)
Stiel J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Basel: Hitz M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Zürich: Sauter I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Zürich?
Basel has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Basel?
Zürich has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Zürich were as follows:
25.01.2026
Zürich
-
Basel
3:4
29.10.2025
Basel
-
Zürich
2:0
12.04.2025
Zürich
-
Basel
0:4
02.02.2025
Zürich
-
Basel
0:1
21.09.2024
Basel
-
Zürich
0:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
