Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 9
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/353) | 87% (425/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/353) | 87% (425/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 67% (38/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (67/93) | 75% (83/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.36 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
- 40', Zuber S. 🟨,
- 41', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Rodic M. 🟨,
- 60', Mahou H. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
- 65', Rodic M. ↓, Ligue J. ↑,
- 65', Phaeton M. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
- 70', Ligue J. 🟨,
- 76', Keny P. P. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 77', Dos Santos D. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
- 84', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 87', Krasniqi B. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 87', Comenencia L. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugano
53.7% | Draw
24% | Zürich
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Lugano - Zürich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.88) |
4.06 ↑
(4.04) |
4.56 ↑
(3.71) |
2.3%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Zürich?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zürich will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Bottani M.
(Health problems)
Kelvin D.
(Muscle Injury)
Kendouci A.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Zürich: Gomez M.
(Yellow Cards)
Reichmuth M.
(Foot Injury)
Sauter I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Koutsias G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Zürich?
Lugano has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Lugano?
Zürich has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Zürich were as follows:
02.03.2025
Lugano
-
Zürich
0:3
24.11.2024
Lugano
-
Zürich
4:1
06.10.2024
Zürich
-
Lugano
1:1
20.05.2024
Zürich
-
Lugano
2:1
25.02.2024
Lugano
-
Zürich
2:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Basel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Sion | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Luzern | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lugano | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zurich | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:28 | -18 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
