Result
0:3
02/03/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 26
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (297/379) | 72% (172/239) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/120) | 67% (57/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 22% (2/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 67% (12/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Zuber S. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Zuber S. ⚽, Markelo J. (A),
- 28', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
- 33', Perea J. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 2, Markelo J. ⚽,
- 55', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 56', Cimignani Y. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 56', Doumbia O. ↓, Macek R. ↑,
- 60', Valenzuela M. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
- 69', Krasniqi B. ↓, Reichmuth M. ↑,
- 76', Bottani M. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 79', Chouiar M. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 79', Markelo J. ↓, Kamberi L. ↑,
- 79', Denoon D. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
- 80', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 84', Hajdari A. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 3, Zuber S. (Pen),
- 90+4', Macek R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
48.5% | Draw
26.5% | Zürich
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Lugano - Zürich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.91) |
3.53 ↓
(3.6) |
3.74 ↑
(3.68) |
6.9%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lugano - Zürich?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 57.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 2.
- Lugano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Zürich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Zürich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lugano will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marques M.
(Knee Injury)
Valenzuela M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Zürich: Bangoura M.
(Injury)
Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
Hodza S.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:28 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Zürich?
Lugano has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Lugano?
Zürich has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Zürich were as follows:
24.11.2024
Lugano
-
Zürich
4:1
06.10.2024
Zürich
-
Lugano
1:1
20.05.2024
Zürich
-
Lugano
2:1
25.02.2024
Lugano
-
Zürich
2:0
12.11.2023
Lugano
-
Zürich
0:3
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Lausanne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Grasshoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Luzern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | St. Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Winterthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
