Lugano vs Zürich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Lugano - Zürich
Result
0:3
02/03/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SWITZERLAND: Super League - Round 26
  • Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.36
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
1614
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
814
Offsides
50
Fouls
148
Yellow Cards
51
Throw-ins
2819
Touches in the Opposition Box
2516
Passes
78% (297/379)72% (172/239)
Passes in the final third
64% (77/120)67% (57/85)
Crosses
31% (4/13)22% (2/9)
Tackles
55% (12/22)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
1920
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Zuber S. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Zuber S. , Markelo J. (A),
  • 28', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
  • 33', Perea J. , Emmanuel U. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Markelo J. ,
  • 55', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 56', Cimignani Y. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 56', Doumbia O. , Macek R. ,
  • 60', Valenzuela M. , El Wafi A. ,
  • 69', Krasniqi B. , Reichmuth M. ,
  • 76', Bottani M. , Vladi S. ,
  • 79', Chouiar M. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 79', Markelo J. , Kamberi L. ,
  • 79', Denoon D. , Mendy B. ,
  • 80', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
  • 84', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 3, Zuber S. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Macek R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugano
48.5%
Draw
26.5%
Zürich
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.8% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 25.4% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Lugano - Zürich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.91)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    3.74
    (3.68)
    6.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lugano - Zürich?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 57.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugano won 2.
    • Lugano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Zürich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Zürich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lugano will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Hamstring Injury) Marques M. (Knee Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Zürich: Bangoura M. (Injury) Goure F. (Knee Injury) Hodza S. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugano won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:28 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugano won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Zürich were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1
    06.10.2024 Zürich - Lugano 1:1
    20.05.2024 Zürich - Lugano 2:1
    25.02.2024 Lugano - Zürich 2:0
    12.11.2023 Lugano - Zürich 0:3
    Latest results of Lugano
    26.02.2025 Biel-Bienne - Lugano 2:0
    23.02.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 1:0
    15.02.2025 Lugano - Luzern 2:0
    08.02.2025 Lugano - Grasshoppers 1:1
    05.02.2025 St. Gallen - Lugano 2:1
    Latest results of Zürich
    27.02.2025 Zürich - Young Boys 2:3
    22.02.2025 Zürich - Yverdon 2:1
    15.02.2025 Sion - Zürich 2:1
    09.02.2025 Zürich - St. Gallen 1:2
    06.02.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 0:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sion11003:213
    2Lausanne00000:000
    3Lugano00000:000
    4Servette00000:000
    5Basel00000:000
    6Young Boys00000:000
    7Grasshoppers00000:000
    8Luzern00000:000
    9St. Gallen00000:000
    10Thun00000:000
    11Winterthur00000:000
    12Zurich10012:3-10

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