Zwolle vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle).

Eredivisie - Round 27
Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.16	2.09
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
5	5
Corner kicks
7	6
Passes
76% (310/406)	75% (300/402)
Yellow cards
0	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.16	2.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.38	1.92
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
10	12
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
5	5
Corner kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
23	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
10	12
Passes
76% (310/406)	75% (300/402)
Long passes
39% (25/64)	42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
68% (70/103)	68% (88/130)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.74
Throw ins
23	23
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
63% (20/32)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
64	38
Clearances
31	16
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	5
xGOT faced
1.92	2.38
Goals prevented
0.92	1.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Taha Y. 🟨,
30', Thomas R. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
33', Schreuders J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
63', Hernes T. ↓, de Jonge T. ↑,
66', Oosting T. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
80', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
80', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Kostons K. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, van Bergen T. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
86', Namli Y. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
86', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
90+2', Mercera T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Zwolle
35.2%

Draw
27.1%

Groningen
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.8%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Groningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zwolle - Groningen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.95)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.52 ↑ (2.2)	5% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Zwolle - Groningen?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Groningen will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 15.1% – 58.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Muscle Injury) Monteiro J. (Muscle Injury) Schendelaar J. (Thigh Injury) Voute D. (Knee Injury) van der Haar D. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: Hernes T. (Injury) Vaessen E. (Injury) Zawada O. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Groningen?

Zwolle has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Zwolle?

Groningen has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Groningen were as follows:

23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2

18.05.2025 Zwolle - Groningen 2:0

08.12.2024 Groningen - Zwolle 0:0

05.08.2023 Zwolle - Groningen 0:0

Latest results of Zwolle

08.03.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 1:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Zwolle - Ajax 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Utrecht - Zwolle 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Zwolle - Volendam 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Groningen

07.03.2026 Groningen - Ajax 3:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Volendam - Groningen 3:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Twente - Groningen 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Groningen - Utrecht 1:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	27	22	2	3	77:34	43	68
2	Feyenoord	27	16	4	7	60:39	21	52
3	Nijmegen	27	14	7	6	67:45	22	49
4	Ajax	27	12	11	4	52:34	18	47
5	Twente	27	11	11	5	45:29	16	44
6	AZ Alkmaar	27	12	6	9	47:42	5	42
7	Heerenveen	27	11	7	9	47:44	3	40
8	Utrecht	27	10	8	9	40:31	9	38
9	Sparta Rotterdam	27	11	5	11	33:47	-14	38
10	Groningen	27	10	5	12	37:37	0	35
11	Sittard	27	10	5	12	42:50	-8	35
12	G.A. Eagles	27	7	11	9	45:43	2	32
13	Zwolle	27	7	9	11	36:52	-16	30
14	FC Volendam	27	7	6	14	30:46	-16	27
15	Excelsior	27	7	5	15	28:46	-18	26
16	Telstar	27	5	9	13	35:45	-10	24
17	NAC Breda	27	5	8	14	28:48	-20	23
18	Heracles	27	5	3	19	32:69	-37	18

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