Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.96
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
71% (177/249)80% (386/484)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.03
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
71% (177/249)80% (386/484)
Long passes
39% (21/54)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
54% (21/39)65% (94/144)
Crosses
11% (1/9)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.80
Throw-ins
2234
Fouls
1112
Tackles
53% (9/17)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
3310
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.032.22
Goals prevented
-0.970.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 20', Gooijer T. , Aertssen O. ,
  • 31', Ogawa K. , El Kachati Y. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Monteiro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Kaplan A. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Kostons K. , de Rooij K. (A),
  • 69', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 71', Linssen B. , Proper D. ,
  • 71', Onal B. , Misidjan V. ,
  • 71', Sandler P. , Fonville D. ,
  • 78', Kostons K. , Mbayo D. ,
  • 88', Shoretire S. , Faberski J. ,
  • 88', Fichtinger N. , Pereira da Gama J. ,

Chances of winning


Zwolle
29.1%
Draw
25.1%
NEC Nijmegen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 25.4% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 25.3% 39.9%

Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(2.74)
3.84
(3.73)
2.13
(2.37)
4.2%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 63%95.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
    • Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.
    • Nijmegen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Suspended) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Willems J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    29.10.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 4:3
    24.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 1:0
    14.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 2:2
    09.12.2023 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 1:3
    Latest results of Zwolle
    18.10.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 2:2
    09.10.2025 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:1
    04.10.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 0:4
    27.09.2025 Volendam - Zwolle 2:1
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV15131146:172940
    2Feyenoord15111341:182334
    3Nijmegen1583439:251427
    4Ajax1575328:20826
    5AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    6Groningen1572621:21023
    7Utrecht1564526:20622
    8Twente1556423:20321
    9Sparta Rotterdam1562717:28-1120
    10G.A. Eagles1546525:26-118
    11Sittard1553721:25-418
    12Heerenveen1545623:26-317
    13Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    14Zwolle1544719:36-1716
    15FC Volendam1535719:27-814
    16Heracles1542923:37-1414
    17NAC Breda1533915:24-912
    18Telstar1525817:25-811

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie