Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.96
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
71% (177/249)80% (386/484)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.03
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
71% (177/249)80% (386/484)
Long passes
39% (21/54)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
54% (21/39)65% (94/144)
Crosses
11% (1/9)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.80
Throw-ins
2234
Fouls
1112
Tackles
53% (9/17)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
3310
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.032.22
Goals prevented
-0.970.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 20', Gooijer T. , Aertssen O. ,
  • 31', Ogawa K. , El Kachati Y. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Monteiro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 2, Kaplan A. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Kostons K. , de Rooij K. (A),
  • 69', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 71', Linssen B. , Proper D. ,
  • 71', Onal B. , Misidjan V. ,
  • 71', Sandler P. , Fonville D. ,
  • 78', Kostons K. , Mbayo D. ,
  • 88', Shoretire S. , Faberski J. ,
  • 88', Fichtinger N. , Pereira da Gama J. ,

Chances of winning


Zwolle
29.1%
Draw
25.1%
NEC Nijmegen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 25.4% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 25.3% 39.9%

Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(2.74)
3.84
(3.73)
2.13
(2.37)
4.2%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 63%95.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
    • Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.
    • Nijmegen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Manu B. M. (Suspended) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Willems J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    29.10.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 4:3
    24.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 1:0
    14.04.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 2:2
    09.12.2023 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 1:3
    Latest results of Zwolle
    18.10.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 2:2
    09.10.2025 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:1
    04.10.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 0:4
    27.09.2025 Volendam - Zwolle 2:1
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV17151152:213146
    2Feyenoord17112442:212135
    3Ajax1786332:221030
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5Groningen1783625:22327
    6AZ Alkmaar1674531:28325
    7Twente1767426:21525
    8Utrecht1765628:23523
    9Heerenveen1765629:26323
    10Sparta Rotterdam1772818:31-1323
    11Sittard1763825:29-421
    12Excelsior1661916:27-1119
    13G.A. Eagles1747626:29-319
    14Zwolle1754821:38-1719
    15Telstar1736820:27-715
    16FC Volendam1735919:31-1214
    17Heracles17421126:44-1814
    18NAC Breda17341016:26-1013

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie