Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/249) | 80% (386/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/249) | 80% (386/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 50% (36/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 65% (94/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 20', Gooijer T. ↓, Aertssen O. ↑,
- 31', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Monteiro J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Kaplan A. ⚽,
- 50', 2 - 2, Kostons K. ⚽, de Rooij K. (A),
- 69', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 71', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 71', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 71', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 78', Kostons K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 88', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
- 88', Fichtinger N. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
29.1% | Draw
25.1% | NEC Nijmegen
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.74) |
3.84 ↑
(3.73) |
2.13 ↓
(2.37) |
4.2%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 63% – 95.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
- Recent form of Zwolle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Nijmegen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.
- Nijmegen might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Manu B. M.
(Suspended)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Willems J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NEC Nijmegen?
Zwolle has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
11.01.2025
Zwolle
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:1
29.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
4:3
24.08.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
1:0
14.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
2:2
09.12.2023
Zwolle
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:3
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Ajax | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Groningen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Nijmegen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Twente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Sittard | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 16 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
