Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (343/438) | 76% (304/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (343/438) | 76% (304/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 68% (69/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Alarcon A. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vesterlund N. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 62', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 65', Agougil O. 🟨,
- 71', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
- 73', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Oosting T. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
- 89', Fichtinger N. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
- 90+1', Zechiel G. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 90+3', Faberski J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
57.9% | Draw
23.1% | Zwolle
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Utrecht - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.57) |
4.07 ↓
(4.12) |
4.96 ↓
(5.13) |
6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Zwolle (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 50%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Utrecht has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Utrecht is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Injury)
Haller S.
(Ribs Injury)
Horemans S.
(Inactive)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Monteiro J.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 3.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Zwolle?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Utrecht?
Zwolle has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Zwolle were as follows:
31.08.2025
Zwolle
-
Utrecht
0:2
01.02.2025
Zwolle
-
Utrecht
3:3
11.08.2024
Utrecht
-
Zwolle
1:0
03.04.2024
Utrecht
-
Zwolle
5:1
27.08.2023
Zwolle
-
Utrecht
1:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
