Utrecht vs Zwolle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht).

Eredivisie - Round 24
Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.11	0.86
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
24	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
78% (343/438)	76% (304/398)
Yellow cards
1	0
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.11	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	1.18
Total shots
24	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
12	4
Blocked shots
9	1
Shots inside the box
18	5
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
43	15
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
17	11
Passes
78% (343/438)	76% (304/398)
Long passes
49% (30/61)	42% (25/59)
Passes in final third
69% (79/115)	68% (69/102)
Crosses
29% (8/28)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.55	1.58
Throw ins
19	14
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
53% (10/19)	57% (13/23)
Duels won
61	56
Clearances
15	33
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.18	1.20
Goals prevented
0.18	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Alarcon A. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vesterlund N. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
62', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
65', Agougil O. 🟨,
71', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
73', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Oosting T. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
89', Fichtinger N. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
90+1', Zechiel G. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
90+3', Faberski J. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Utrecht
57.9%

Draw
23.1%

Zwolle
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Utrecht - Zwolle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	4.07 ↓ (4.12)	4.96 ↓ (5.13)	6% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Utrecht - Zwolle?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% – 84.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Zwolle (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 50%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Utrecht has had a series of away games.
In this match, Utrecht is the team to beat.
There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M. (Injury) Haller S. (Ribs Injury) Horemans S. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Inactive) Monteiro J. (Inactive) Schendelaar J. (Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:26. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 3.2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Zwolle?

Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Utrecht?

Zwolle has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Zwolle were as follows:

31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2

01.02.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 3:3

11.08.2024 Utrecht - Zwolle 1:0

03.04.2024 Utrecht - Zwolle 5:1

27.08.2023 Zwolle - Utrecht 1:0

Latest results of Utrecht

14.02.2026 Groningen - Utrecht 1:2 ✺

11.02.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht 1:3 ✺

08.02.2026 Utrecht - Feyenoord 0:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Heerenveen - Utrecht 1:1 ✺

29.01.2026 Celtic - Utrecht 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Zwolle

15.02.2026 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Zwolle - Volendam 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Zwolle - Telstar 4:1 ✺

24.01.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	27	22	2	3	77:34	43	68
2	Feyenoord	27	16	4	7	60:39	21	52
3	Nijmegen	27	14	7	6	67:45	22	49
4	Ajax	27	12	11	4	52:34	18	47
5	Twente	27	11	11	5	45:29	16	44
6	AZ Alkmaar	27	12	6	9	47:42	5	42
7	Heerenveen	27	11	7	9	47:44	3	40
8	Utrecht	27	10	8	9	40:31	9	38
9	Sparta Rotterdam	27	11	5	11	33:47	-14	38
10	Groningen	27	10	5	12	37:37	0	35
11	Sittard	27	10	5	12	42:50	-8	35
12	G.A. Eagles	27	7	11	9	45:43	2	32
13	Zwolle	27	7	9	11	36:52	-16	30
14	FC Volendam	27	7	6	14	30:46	-16	27
15	Excelsior	27	7	5	15	28:46	-18	26
16	Telstar	27	5	9	13	35:45	-10	24
17	NAC Breda	27	5	8	14	28:48	-20	23
18	Heracles	27	5	3	19	32:69	-37	18

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