Result
0:2
31/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 4
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (342/422) | 79% (363/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (342/422) | 79% (363/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/114) | 63% (60/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', Murkin D. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, van den Berg D. ⚽, Murkin D. (A),
- 44', 0 - 2, Murkin D. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kostons K. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
- 55', van den Berg D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 55', Murkin D. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
- 55', Rodriguez M. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 71', Oosting T. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
- 71', Mbayo D. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 71', Monteiro J. ↓, Lagsir S. ↑,
- 83', Min D. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 84', Didden M. ↓, Eerdhuijzen M. ↑,
- 86', Floranus S. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
- 89', Pereira da Gama J. 🟨,
- 90+9', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
28.8% | Draw
27.2% | Utrecht
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Zwolle - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(2.7) |
3.49 ↓
(3.6) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
5.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Utrecht will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.
- Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Utrecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Utrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Schendelaar J.
(Knee Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Injury)
Jensen V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Utrecht?
Zwolle has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Zwolle?
Utrecht has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Utrecht were as follows:
01.02.2025
Zwolle
-
Utrecht
3:3
11.08.2024
Utrecht
-
Zwolle
1:0
03.04.2024
Utrecht
-
Zwolle
5:1
27.08.2023
Zwolle
-
Utrecht
1:0
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
