Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kazakhstan | Q Football, Q Sport International |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (290/388) | 58% (109/189) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (120/167) | 48% (35/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 42% (5/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Basic I. 🟨,
- 44', Ivlev A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ivlev A. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 53', Mertens D. 🟥,
- 58', Motpan N. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
- 58', Iljin V. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
- 60', Basic I. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 67', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 69', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 74', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 83', Kalinin I. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
- 89', Savelyev M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Bozhin S. (Own goal),
- 90+6', Mansilla B. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
38.9% | Draw
30.1% | Fakel
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Orenburg - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.48) |
3.24 ↓
(3.38) |
3.15 ↓
(3.16) |
2.5%
(1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 2.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Malykh A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fakel: Yakimov V.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Fakel: Kashtanov A.
(Inactive)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:11 (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Fakel?
Orenburg has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Orenburg?
Fakel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Fakel were as follows:
24.08.2024
Fakel
-
Orenburg
1:0
31.03.2024
Fakel
-
Orenburg
0:0
21.10.2023
Orenburg
-
Fakel
1:2
21.09.2023
Orenburg
-
Fakel
1:0
29.08.2023
Fakel
-
Orenburg
0:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
