FC Oss vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.51
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
70% (165/235)88% (500/569)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.832.57
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2232
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
70% (165/235)88% (500/569)
Long passes
54% (30/56)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
67% (53/79)82% (142/173)
Crosses
20% (5/25)24% (9/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.47
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1215
Tackles
64% (7/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
4630
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.570.83
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Erkan M. , Vianello D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 51', Simons J. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Erkan M. ,
  • 59', Bultman S. , Kok T. ,
  • 59', Theodoridis D. , Smits M. ,
  • 60', Esajas M. , de Wit K. ,
  • 60', Lambrix X. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, van der Heide A. , Gijselhart T. (A),
  • 70', Erkan M. , Bernardina J. ,
  • 70', Wildeboer T. , Doucoure S. ,
  • 74', de Jong F. , Kwint K. ,
  • 78', Besselink R. 🟨,
  • 80', Hinoke M. , Marhoum Y. ,
  • 81', Mol L. , Van Bost J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Niemeijer R. , Raterink O. (A),
  • 84', 2 - 3, Kwint K. ,
  • 90', Simons J. , Broker S. ,
  • 90+3', van der Heide A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


FC Oss
30.7%
Draw
22.6%
De Graafschap
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 22.8% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 22.2% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Oss's performance.
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Oss that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FC Oss - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (3.7)
    4.1
    (4.06)
    1.98
    (1.78)
    7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for FC Oss - De Graafschap?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 0.
    • Oss is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Oss: Cox T. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Oss: Remans M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oss won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:43. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oss won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Oss - De Graafschap were as follows:
    18.10.2025 De Graafschap - FC Oss 1:1
    16.03.2025 FC Oss - De Graafschap 0:2
    22.11.2024 De Graafschap - FC Oss 4:0
    29.10.2024 De Graafschap - FC Oss 4:1
    01.03.2024 De Graafschap - FC Oss 2:1
    Latest results of FC Oss
    17.12.2025 FC Oss - Utrecht 0:2
    12.12.2025 FC Oss - ADO Den Haag 3:4
    07.12.2025 Vitesse - FC Oss 0:0
    29.11.2025 FC Oss - Almere City 1:2
    24.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss 0:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )