Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (335/435) | 69% (200/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (335/435) | 69% (200/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (36/89) | 26% (16/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/110) | 60% (59/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.73 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Tanimura K. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Yamane R. ⚽, Tanimura K. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Kaneko T. ⚽, Ishihara H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 1 - 2, Watanabe K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 69', Croux J. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
- 72', Yasui K. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 72', Onaiwu A. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
- 77', Yuri Araujo ↓, Asada H. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Amano J. ⚽,
- 85', Tsunoda R. ↓, Suwama K. ↑,
- 86', Amano J. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
- 89', Kaneko T. ↓, Teruuchi T. ↑,
- 90', Hidano R. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Quinones J. (Own goal),
- 90+2', Shibato K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
44.8% | Draw
29.2% | Yokohama F. Marinos
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urawa Red Diamonds's form might have worsened.Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.83) |
3.21 ↓
(3.79) |
3.57 ↓
(4.05) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
- Urawa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Yokohama FM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Urawa: Matheus Savio
(Yellow Cards)
Matsuo Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K.
(Inactive)
Suzuki T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Danilo Boza
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
21.02.2026
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:2
18.10.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
4:0
20.04.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
3:1
30.10.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:0
06.05.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:1
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
