Result
1:2 penalties
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (184/275) | 79% (374/474) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (184/275) | 79% (374/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 45% (35/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (43/87) | 62% (92/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 30% (11/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Onaiwu G. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽,
- 33', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- 42', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Kato R. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 56', Tevis ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 56', Higuchi A. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 68', Watanabe A. ↓, Torikai Y. ↑,
- 68', Matheus Leiria ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 70', Onaiwu G. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
- 71', Arai M. ↓, Ando K. ↑,
- 73', Suwama K. 🟨,
- 78', Sekitomi K. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 86', Tada K. ↓, Yamashita S. ↑,
- 88', Yamane R. ↓, David D. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Croux J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, David D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nemoto R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Amano J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Omori S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Quinones J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
36.2% | Draw
29.5% | Mito HollyHock
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.25) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
2.75 ↓
(3) |
6.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place))
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Yokohama FM will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Injury)
Matsubara K.
(Inactive)
Suzuki T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Kato C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Croux J.
(Injury)
Inoue T.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Yokohama FM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Mito HollyHock?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Mito HollyHock has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
18.03.2026
Mito HollyHock
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
10.07.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Mito HollyHock
3:2
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
