Elversberg vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Elversberg
67.1%
Draw
19.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.7% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 20.7% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.5)
    4.83
    (4.27)
    6.82
    (5.53)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    15.04.2023 Osnabrück - Elversberg 1:0
    25.03.2023 Verl - Elversberg 1:2
    19.03.2023 Elversberg - Hallescher 1:1
    14.03.2023 1860 München - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck ✔ 36237661:303176
    2Cottbus36199869:501966
    3Duisburg36199865:481766
    4RW Essen361810874:641064
    5Verl361710979:473261
    6Hansa Rostock361613765:432261
    7Alemannia Aachen361771267:561158
    8Munich 18603615111053:48556
    9Wehen361481451:50150
    10Viktoria Koln361551650:49150
    11Regensburg361471554:56-249
    12Mannheim361471557:67-1049
    13Stuttgart II361371651:60-946
    14Saarbrucken3610141246:50-444
    15Ingolstadt3611101558:54443
    16Hoffenheim II361171862:67-540
    17TSV Havelse ✔ 36882053:81-2832
    18Ulm ✔ 36952246:74-2832
    19Aue ✔ 366121847:68-2130
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 36562534:80-4621

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
    TSV Havelse is Relegated to
    Ulm is Relegated to
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to