Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 33
- Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 11 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Taz B. ⚽, Worner M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barylla A. 🟨,
- 51', Otto Y. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
- 63', Wessig F. ↓, Arweiler J. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Weinhauer E. ⚽,
- 65', Guttau J. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
- 65', Uhlmann E. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 65', Barylla A. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 77', Worner M. ↓, Japaur A. ↑,
- 77', Eze J. ↓, Mesanovic A. ↑,
- 81', Stark J. 🟨,
- 83', Weinhauer E. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 83', Bar M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
23.4% | Draw
22.8% | Verl
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Verl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Verl Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(3.67) |
4.1 ↑
(4) |
1.72 ↓
(1.78) |
8.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0.
- Aue has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Verl's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Verl is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Verl will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.4:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Verl?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Verl won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Verl has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Verl were as follows:
08.11.2025
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
26.04.2025
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
5:1
30.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
2:5
13.04.2024
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
03.11.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 68:48 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 73:58 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63:47 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 64:42 | 22 | 60 |
| 6 | Verl | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 75:47 | 28 | 58 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 66:55 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 52:47 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Wehen | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:47 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 57:65 | -8 | 49 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 48:49 | -1 | 47 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:55 | -3 | 46 |
| 13 | Ingolstadt | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 55:49 | 6 | 43 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45:59 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 44:50 | -6 | 41 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 61:65 | -4 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 46:72 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 42:65 | -23 | 27 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 35 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 33:79 | -46 | 20 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
