São João de Ver vs Varzim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
47
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
47
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Franca F. ,
  • 45+1', Rego R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Castro J. , Barbosa D. (A),
  • 61', Freitas R. , Ayiah E. ,
  • 62', Teixeira G. , Ze Manuel ,
  • 70', Filipe L. , Sequeira D. ,
  • 78', Vila Cova M. , Derick ,
  • 81', Castro J. , Jesse ,
  • 81', Valente R. , Erick Gabriel ,

Chances of winning


São João de Ver
31.2%
Draw
29.2%
Varzim
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 30.8% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 30.2% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • São João de Ver - Varzim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.82)
    3.17
    (2.96)
    2.33
    (2.48)
    8.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, São João de Ver won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São João de Ver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São João de Ver - Varzim were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Varzim - São João de Ver 4:0
    26.01.2025 São João de Ver - Varzim 4:1
    26.10.2024 Varzim - São João de Ver 2:0
    22.04.2023 Varzim - São João de Ver 1:1
    01.04.2023 São João de Ver - Varzim 2:1
    Latest results of São João de Ver
    Latest results of Varzim
    09.11.2025 Varzim - Amarante 0:0
    01.11.2025 Varzim - Marco 09 2:1
    26.10.2025 Sanjoanense - Varzim 3:3
    11.10.2025 Trofense - Varzim 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )