Lorient vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
belarusBelarusSport TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.310.67
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
08
Passes
82% (285/349)86% (419/488)
Yellow cards
41
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.310.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
913
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
59
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
26
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
622
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free kicks
167
Passes
82% (285/349)86% (419/488)
Long passes
43% (20/46)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
59% (44/74)76% (115/152)
Crosses
30% (3/10)12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.68
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
716
Tackles
71% (10/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
3912
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
0.000.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Pagis P. 🟥,
  • 45', Pantaloni O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diallo Z. , Cho M. ,
  • 46', Peprah K. , Louchet T. ,
  • 56', Ndombele T. , Kevin ,
  • 57', Abergel L. , Cadiou N. ,
  • 70', Kevin 🟨,
  • 70', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 71', Makengo J. , Karim D. ,
  • 72', Yongwa D. , Faye A. ,
  • 80', Dieng B. , Soumano S. ,
  • 80', Le Bris T. , Katseris P. ,
  • 82', Dante , Bah J. ,
  • 82', Boudache K. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 85', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Bernardeau G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Cadiou N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Clauss J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Talbi M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Louchet T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kouassi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sanson M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Soumano S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Kevin (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Avom A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Mendy A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Katseris P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Vanhoutte C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Faye A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Cho M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Meite B. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Lorient
31.8%
Draw
35.6%
Nice
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.4% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Lorient - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (2.16)
    3.08
    (3.37)
    3.41
    (3.27)
    -11.5%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Lorient (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Lorient (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lorient will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorient will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lorient might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Diop S. (Yellow Cards) Jansson I. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Pereira E. (Injury) Wahi E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Kouassi A. (Injury) Sanusi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nice were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    19.04.2024 Nice - Lorient 3:0
    20.08.2023 Lorient - Nice 1:1
    19.03.2023 Nice - Lorient 1:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    01.03.2026 Lorient - Auxerre 2:2
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    15.02.2026 Lorient - Angers 2:0
    07.02.2026 Brest - Lorient 2:0
    04.02.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    Latest results of Nice
    01.03.2026 Paris FC - Nice 1:0
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    15.02.2026 Lyon - Nice 2:0
    08.02.2026 Nice - Monaco 0:0
    04.02.2026 Nice - Montpellier 3:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice