Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 84% (441/522) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 84% (441/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 59% (39/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (55/97) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 7% (2/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Kevin 🟨,
- 22', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Munetsi M. ⚽,
- 35', Camara A. 🟨,
- 43', De Smet T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kevin ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 66', Immobile C. 🟨,
- 67', Louchet T. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 67', Diop S. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
- 70', Kebbal I. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 70', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 78', Boudache K. 🟨,
- 80', Ikone J. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 80', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 88', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
- 90+3', Munetsi M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 90+3', Trapp K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cho M. 🟨,
- 90+5', De Smet T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
38.2% | Draw
28.4% | Nice
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Paris FC - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.39) |
3.34 ↓
(3.37) |
2.86 ↓
(2.88) |
4.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Nice?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Nice will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.8% – 88.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Paris FC (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nice (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris FC will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 6 - 75%). Nice (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
- Paris FC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nice has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Jansson I.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Wahi E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Gueye L.
(Injury)
Riou R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Ndombele T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Nice?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Paris FC?
Nice has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Nice were as follows:
28.09.2025
Nice
-
Paris FC
1:1
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
