Result
2:1
02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 25
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (451/528) | 75% (270/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (451/528) | 75% (270/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 51', Zarrouk A. ↓, van Maarschalkerwaard P. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Vink S. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
- 62', Alders G. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 62', Abdella M. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 68', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
- 68', van Aalst U. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
- 70', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
- 72', Ouazane Z. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 77', O'Niel D. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
- 85', van Maarschalkerwaard P. 🟨,
- 87', Et Taibi A. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
- 88', van der Vaart D. ↓, Muzungu M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ouazane A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
22.9% | Draw
21.6% | Willem II
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Jong Ajax - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(3.61) |
4.28 ↑
(4.24) |
1.69 ↓
(1.79) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
- Jong Ajax is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Willem II?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong Ajax?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Willem II were as follows:
19.09.2025
Willem II
-
Jong Ajax
1:0
19.01.2024
Willem II
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
06.11.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Willem II
1:0
24.02.2023
Willem II
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
31.10.2022
Jong Ajax
-
Willem II
1:2
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 56 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 54:48 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Willem II | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 39 |
| 7 | Roda | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43:40 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:40 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Venlo | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Den Bosch | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 35:45 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:50 | -18 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Helmond | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:45 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 18 | Oss | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 23 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
