Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (380/440) | 87% (410/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (380/440) | 87% (410/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (38/58) | 55% (26/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 79% (109/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bamba S. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
- 46', Peters T. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Culum A. ⚽, van Aalst U. (A),
- 61', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 61', Verkuijl M. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
- 72', Culum A. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
- 74', El Allouchi M. 🟨,
- 75', Muzungu M. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 76', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
- 76', Mathijsen J. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
- 87', Haen D. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Willem II
59.7% | Draw
19.6% | Jong Ajax
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Willem II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Willem II - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58
(1.58) |
4.73 ↑
(4.4) |
4.61 ↓
(4.99) |
6.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Willem II - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Willem II is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: van de Pavert R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong Ajax?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Willem II?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Jong Ajax were as follows:
19.01.2024
Willem II
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
06.11.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Willem II
1:0
24.02.2023
Willem II
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
31.10.2022
Jong Ajax
-
Willem II
1:2
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
