Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 21
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 3.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/382) | 84% (395/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 3.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/382) | 84% (395/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (44/75) | 72% (113/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 3.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Geerts D. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Besselink G. ⚽, Ciranni A. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Geerts D. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Et Taibi A. ⚽, Ingason H. (A),
- 52', Culum A. 🟨,
- 62', Vos D. 🟨,
- 62', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 62', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 66', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 74', Et Taibi A. 🟨,
- 74', Behounek R. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
- 75', Tjoe a On N. ↓, Hoogma J. ↑,
- 78', Essakkati T. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
- 78', Ingason H. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Hoogma J. 🟨,
- 83', van Aalst U. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 88', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport
35.8% | Draw
26.7% | Willem II
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)
Helmond Sport - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.64) |
3.48 ↑
(3.44) |
2.5 ↑
(2.49) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
- Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Willem II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Willem II?
Helmond Sport has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Helmond Sport?
Willem II has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Willem II were as follows:
30.09.2025
Willem II
-
Helmond Sport
1:0
29.03.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Willem II
0:2
15.12.2023
Willem II
-
Helmond Sport
4:1
03.02.2023
Willem II
-
Helmond Sport
5:1
14.10.2022
Helmond Sport
-
Willem II
1:3
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
