Helmond Sport vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.373.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.072.22
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
47
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
80% (306/382)84% (395/470)
Long passes
46% (27/59)49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
59% (44/75)72% (113/156)
Crosses
26% (5/19)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.16
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1911
Tackles
75% (9/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
4021
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.223.07
Goals prevented
0.221.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Geerts D. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Besselink G. ⚽, Ciranni A. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Geerts D. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Et Taibi A. ⚽, Ingason H. (A),
  • 52', Culum A. 🟨,
  • 62', Vos D. 🟨,
  • 62', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
  • 62', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
  • 66', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
  • 74', Et Taibi A. 🟨,
  • 74', Behounek R. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
  • 75', Tjoe a On N. ↓, Hoogma J. ↑,
  • 78', Essakkati T. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
  • 78', Ingason H. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Haen D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Hoogma J. 🟨,
  • 83', van Aalst U. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
  • 88', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Semic L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
35.8%		Draw
26.7%		Willem II
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 27.1% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 26.5% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Helmond Sport - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↓
    (2.64)    		 3.48 ↑
    (3.44)    		 2.5 ↑
    (2.49)    		 7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0.
    • Helmond Sport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Willem II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Willem II were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    29.03.2024 Helmond Sport - Willem II 0:2
    15.12.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 4:1
    03.02.2023 Willem II - Helmond Sport 5:1
    14.10.2022 Helmond Sport - Willem II 1:3
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    12.12.2025 Emmen - Helmond Sport 4:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4 ✺
    28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺
    24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Willem II
    18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺
    28.11.2025 Den Bosch - Willem II 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Jong PSV361751465:59656
    6Almere City361741573:591455
    7Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    8Roda3614121057:50754
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Vitesse3615101163:531043
    13Venlo361261847:55-842
    14FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    15Jong Utrecht351091652:61-939
    16Oss369111648:62-1438
    17Jong AZ361142159:73-1437
    18Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    19Helmond36991840:61-2136
    20Jong Ajax36882049:71-2232

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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