Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/361) | 84% (386/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/361) | 84% (386/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/89) | 69% (75/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, De Haas J. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Samu ⚽, Saviolo N. (A),
- 45+1', Strata T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Sorriso ⚽,
- 62', Gustavo ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 62', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 70', Sousa D. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
- 73', Santos P. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 80', Saviolo N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 80', Beni ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
- 84', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 90', Sorriso 🟨,
- 90', Sorriso ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 90+1', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
38.3% | Draw
28.9% | Famalicão
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.51) |
3.26 ↓
(3.36) |
2.89 ↓
(2.99) |
5.6%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
- Guimarães has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Famalicão is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guimarães may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
De Amorim M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Pena M.
(Injury)
Rochinha
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Famalicão?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão were as follows:
26.10.2025
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:0
08.02.2025
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
01.09.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Famalicão
2:1
09.03.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Famalicão
1:0
08.10.2023
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
