Result
1:3
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 12
- Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', Sears R. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Brobbel R. ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 2, Davies D. ⚽,
- 44', Jefferies I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Evans C. 🟨,
- 61', Evans C. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 63', Bodenham J. 🟨,
- 69', Williams D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 72', Charles K. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 72', Brobbel R. ↓, Nadin J. ↑,
- 74', Jones M. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
- 85', Sears R. ↓, Downey S. ↑,
- 85', Abadaki O. ↓, Griffith C. ↑,
- 88', Jefferies I. ↓, Astles R. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Holden R. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Mooney P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
15.5% | Draw
18.8% | The New Saints
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The New Saints's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for The New Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caernarfon Town - The New Saints Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.04 ↑
(4.73) |
4.97 ↑
(4.13) |
1.43 ↓
(1.58) |
6.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - The New Saints?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 26 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TNS: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): The New Saints will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 1.
- In recent matches, Caernarfon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- TNS is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, TNS is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:60. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 4:31. (average 0.4:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against The New Saints?
Caernarfon Town has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - The New Saints were as follows:
11.03.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
11.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
The New Saints
0:1
26.12.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
The New Saints
2:5
09.10.2024
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
05.04.2024
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
7:1
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:10 | 29 | 32 |
| 2 | Penybont | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Connahs Q | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Barry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bala | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Flint | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
