Unión La Calera vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de la Liga - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
66
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
85
Corner kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ,
  • 36', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Gutierrez D. , Pastene A. ,
  • 56', Cruz J. , Pozzo F. ,
  • 61', Stefanelli N. , Sepulveda C. ,
  • 65', Gutierrez B. , Zanini A. ,
  • 70', Gutierrez C. , Campos M. ,
  • 70', Oyarzo Munoz B. , Hiriart M. ,
  • 76', Palma N. 🟨,
  • 77', Rubio D. 🟨,
  • 79', Marin M. 🟨,
  • 82', Marin M. , Chamorro F. ,
  • 82', Escalante G. , Orellana J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Campos M. ,
  • 88', Mendez K. , Argandona B. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Saez S. ,

Chances of winning


Unión La Calera
28.9%
Draw
30.9%
Deportes La Serena
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.3% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.17)
    3.16
    (3.16)
    2.44
    (3.2)
    2.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.
    • Unión La Calera might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera 3:0
    15.08.2025 Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena 1:1
    30.10.2022 Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera 2:1
    Latest results of Unión La Calera
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Chilean Copa de la Liga Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colo Colo32105:237
    2Coquimbo32104:227
    3Huachipato30122:4-21
    4D. Concepcion30124:7-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nublense32104:137
    2U. Catolica32015:326
    3U. De Concepcion31023:5-23
    4Cobresal30123:6-31


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins32106:337
    2Limache31204:315
    3Everton31024:5-13
    4Palestino30123:6-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1A. Italiano32015:416
    2Union La Calera32013:216
    3U. De Chile31115:414
    4La Serena30124:7-31

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