Result
1:1
26/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 22
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/465) | 67% (178/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (374/465) | 67% (178/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (76/114) | 57% (47/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', El Allachi C. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Maas S. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
- 66', de Vries J. ↓, Karlsson Grach S. ↑,
- 66', Semedo E. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
- 71', el Bakkali Z. 🟨,
- 74', El Allachi C. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 80', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
- 80', Barglan S. ↓, Boushaba A. ↑,
- 84', Simons J. ↓, Broker S. ↑,
- 88', Akmum R. 🟨,
- 90', de Jong F. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Karlsson Grach S. ⚽, Felida K. (A),
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
48% | Draw
23.2% | Den Bosch
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
De Graafschap - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.7) |
4.04 ↓
(4.75) |
3.23 ↓
(3.68) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - De Graafschap (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Den Bosch (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 50%). Den Bosch (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4.
- De Graafschap is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Den Bosch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.
- In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.
- There will not play in De Graafschap: Simons J.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that De Graafschap will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Den Bosch?
De Graafschap has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against De Graafschap?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Den Bosch were as follows:
31.10.2025
Den Bosch
-
De Graafschap
1:2
07.02.2025
De Graafschap
-
Den Bosch
1:0
04.10.2024
Den Bosch
-
De Graafschap
2:2
23.02.2024
De Graafschap
-
Den Bosch
2:0
15.12.2023
Den Bosch
-
De Graafschap
0:4
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
