Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 2
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/479) | 75% (240/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/479) | 75% (240/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (67/101) | 56% (49/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Seck I. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, Ameyaw M. (A),
- 38', Sekulski L. (Pen),
- 41', 1 - 1, Salvador I. ⚽,
- 42', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
- 43', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rocha L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 55', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
- 55', Seck I. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
- 57', Nowak W. 🟨,
- 59', Nastic B. 🟨,
- 62', Ameyaw M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 64', Nastic B. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Nowak W. ⚽, Sekulski L. (A),
- 72', Nowak W. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 72', Adriano ↓, Otieno E. ↑,
- 87', Salvador I. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
- 88', Sekulski L. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 89', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Mosor A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
60.1% | Draw
24.1% | Wisła Płock
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)The chances for Wisła Płock have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.5) |
3.89 ↓
(4.18) |
6.06 ↑
(5.88) |
4.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 25 - 96.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 88.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Raków is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Inactive)
Lopez I.
(Inactive)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
Silva J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Raków won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:9. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 3.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Wisła Płock?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Raków Częstochowa?
Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock were as follows:
21.05.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
05.11.2022
Raków Częstochowa
-
Wisła Płock
7:1
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
