Result
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Chances of winning
Utrecht 54% | Draw 24.1% | Groningen 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Utrecht - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.73) |
3.96 ↓ (4.1) |
4.35 ↓ (4.49) |
5.3% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Groningen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
- Utrecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Groningen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Utrecht is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jensen V.
(Thigh Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Groningen were as follows:
13.04.2025
Utrecht
-
Groningen
3:1
20.10.2024
Groningen
-
Utrecht
0:1
07.04.2023
Groningen
-
Utrecht
1:2
23.12.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:3
06.11.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
2:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
2 | PSV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
3 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
5 | Nijmegen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 9 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
7 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
11 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | FC Volendam | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
14 | Twente | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
15 | NAC Breda | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
17 | Heerenveen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie