Paphos vs AEL Limassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
22/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
54
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
95
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', Jaja 🟨,
  • 25', Zdravkovski D. 🟨,
  • 27', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 28', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Milosavljevic I. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Jaja ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Gorter J. , Michail N. ,
  • 55', Guessand A. , Orsic M. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Lele ,
  • 69', Szoke J. 🟨,
  • 71', Zdravkovski D. , Jradi B. Z. ,
  • 78', Szoke J. , Neofytou K. ,
  • 79', Jaja , Quina D. ,
  • 84', Neofytou K. 🟨,
  • 84', Maseko T. , Forestieri F. ,
  • 84', Singh L. , Mughe F. R. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Dragomir V. ,
  • 90', Bruno , Mimovic O. ,
  • 90', Dragomir V. , Brito A. ,

Chances of winning


Paphos
59.4%
Draw
23.3%
AEL Limassol
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 24.1% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 22.7% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Paphos - AEL Limassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.58)
    3.92
    (3.79)
    5.37
    (4.99)
    8.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paphos - AEL Limassol?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Paphos will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paphos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, AEL has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Paphos is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - AEL Limassol were as follows:
    08.04.2026 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:2
    15.02.2026 AEL Limassol - Paphos 0:1
    02.11.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 1:0
    06.01.2025 Paphos - AEL Limassol 4:0
    22.09.2024 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:3
    Latest results of Paphos
    18.04.2026 Paphos - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    14.04.2026 Aris Limassol - Paphos 1:1
    08.04.2026 AEL Limassol - Paphos 1:2
    04.04.2026 Omonia - Paphos 2:0
    22.03.2026 Paphos - Apollon Limassol 1:1
    Latest results of AEL Limassol
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1M.E.A.P. NisouApollon1 : 5
    2KarmiotissaAnorthosis1 : 3
    3ASIL LysiOl. Nicosia0 : 2
    4Omonia AradippouAyia Napa4 : 0
    5APOELZakakiou5 : 0
    6Achyronas-OnisilosApea Akrotiriou0 : 2
    7KitiouAchnas0 : 4
    8ParalimniHalkanoras2 : 0
    9OmoniaBye
    10ByeAEK Larnaca
    11ArisOmonia 29th May2 : 1
    12Ethnikos LatsionAEL Limassol1 : 2
    13KrasavaNea Salamis1 : 2
    14ByeDigenis Akritas
    15PafosBye
    16ChlorakaDoxa5 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ApollonAnorthosis2 : 0
    2Ol. NicosiaOmonia Aradippou3 : 4
    3APOELApea Akrotiriou1 : 0
    4AchnasParalimni1 : 2
    5OmoniaAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    6ArisAEL Limassol0 : 1
    7Nea SalamisDigenis Akritas2 : 3
    8PafosChloraka2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ApollonOmonia Aradippou3 : 2
    2APOELParalimni3 : 2
    3OmoniaAEL Limassol1 : 2
    4Digenis AkritasPafos0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1ApollonAPOEL0 : 0, 4 : 2
    2AEL LimassolPafos1 : 3, 1 : 2

    Final
    1ApollonPafos