Result
2:4
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 5
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (173/238) | 85% (418/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (173/238) | 85% (418/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 49% (35/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 70% (90/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.16 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Thomas A. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Burgering B. ⚽, Sam A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 54', 2 - 1, Koller J. ⚽, Abed T. (A),
- 56', Waayers E. 🟨,
- 62', Koller J. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 62', de Haan M. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 62', Bijleveld T. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
- 66', Druijf F. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Verkooijen N. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 3, Thomas A. ⚽, van de Riet R. (A),
- 75', Kadile J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 75', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
- 76', van Duiven R. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 76', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 77', Druijf F. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 84', Waayers E. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 84', van de Riet R. ↓, Bassey E. ↑,
- 86', Engel M. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 4, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, Abed T. (A),
- 90+3', Sam A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almere City
61.9% | Draw
20.3% | Jong PSV
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Almere City - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.44) |
4.61 ↑
(4.5) |
5.25 ↓
(6) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Almere City - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong PSV will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.
- Almere City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jong PSV is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Almere City is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong PSV: Bassey E.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong PSV?
Almere City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Almere City?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Jong PSV were as follows:
03.02.2023
Almere City
-
Jong PSV
1:2
07.11.2022
Jong PSV
-
Almere City
0:1
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
